Darby S C, O'Hagan J A, Kendall G M, Doll R, Fell T P, Muirhead C R
Cancer Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Infirmary, United Kingdom.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1991 Mar;45(1):65-70. doi: 10.1136/jech.45.1.65.
The aim was to evaluate and improve the completeness of follow up in a cohort study of mortality carried out using the UK National Health Service (NHS) Central Registers.
This was a follow up study of UK servicemen who served abroad in the 1950s and 1960s, including those who participated in the UK atmospheric nuclear weapon tests and experimental programmes.
Details of men for whom follow up achieved using the NHS Central Registers was unsatisfactory were submitted to the Department of Social Security (DSS) for tracing, as were details of men born before 1916 and reported by the NHS Central Registers as currently registered with a general practitioner, and a 1% sample of remaining men born in or after 1916.
The additional follow up increased the number of deaths fully identified in the cohort by 6.5%. Mortality among those untraced on the NHS Central Registers was substantially greater than in the cohort as a whole (10.2% v 6.9%). Among those reported by the NHS Central Registers as not currently registered with a general practitioner, 2.7% were found to have died, as were 1.1% of men born before 1916 and currently reported to be registered with a general practitioner. As expected there was clear evidence that information about emigrations supplied by both the NHS Central Registers and DSS is far from complete.
Standardised mortality ratios based on follow up via the NHS Central Registers alone are likely to be somewhat low, and this should be borne in mind when interpreting the data.
旨在评估并提高一项使用英国国家医疗服务体系(NHS)中央登记处开展的队列死亡率研究的随访完整性。
这是一项对20世纪50年代和60年代在海外服役的英国军人的随访研究,包括那些参与了英国大气层核武器试验及实验项目的军人。
利用NHS中央登记处进行随访但结果不尽人意的男性详细信息,以及1916年以前出生且据NHS中央登记处报告目前在全科医生处登记的男性详细信息,还有1916年及以后出生的其余男性的1%样本信息,均被提交给社会保障部(DSS)进行追踪。
额外的随访使队列中完全确认的死亡人数增加了6.5%。在NHS中央登记处未追踪到的人群中的死亡率显著高于整个队列(10.2%对6.9%)。在NHS中央登记处报告目前未在全科医生处登记的人群中,2.7%的人被发现已经死亡,在1916年以前出生且目前报告在全科医生处登记的男性中,这一比例为1.1%。正如预期的那样,有明确证据表明,NHS中央登记处和DSS提供的移民信息远非完整。
仅基于通过NHS中央登记处进行随访得出的标准化死亡率可能会偏低,在解释数据时应牢记这一点。