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德国统一后可避免的癌症死亡率:地区差异与性别差异

Avoidable Cancer Mortality in Germany Since Reunification: Regional Variation and Sex Differences.

作者信息

Westerman Ronny, Mühlichen Michael

机构信息

Competence Center Mortality-Follow-Up, German National Cohort (GNC), Federal Institute for Population Research, Wiesbaden, Germany.

Federal Institute for Population Research, Wiesbaden, Germany.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2019 Jul 10;7:187. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2019.00187. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

Regional comparisons of cancer-related mortality in Germany are traditionally focused on disparities between East and West Germany. Recent improvements in all-cause and cancer-related mortality show a diverse regional pattern beyond the known East-West mortality divide. A generalized approach of the avoidable/amenable cancer mortality definition is applied for suitable regional comparisons of long-term trends. Standardized death rates of preventable and amenable cancer mortality for men and women were computed for the period 1990-2014 to observe sex-specific excess mortality due to specific cancers after the German reunification. For regional comparison, three German super regions were defined in Eastern, Northwestern, and Southwestern Germany to account for similarities in long-term regional premature and cancer-related mortality patterns, socioeconomic characteristics, and age structure. Since preventable and amenable cancer mortality rates typically have driven the recent trends in premature mortality, our findings underline the current regional pattern of preventable cancer mortality for males with disadvantages for Eastern Germany, and advantages for Southwestern Germany. Among women, the preventable cancer mortality has increased in Northwestern and Southwestern Germany after the German reunification but has decreased in Eastern Germany and converged to the pattern of Southwestern Germany. Similar patterns can be observed for females in amenable cancer mortality. Although the "traditional" East-West gap in preventable cancer mortality was still evident in males, our study provides some hints for more regional diversity in avoidable cancer mortality in women. An establishing north-south divide in avoidable cancer mortality could alter the future trends in regional cancer-related mortality in Germany.

摘要

德国癌症相关死亡率的区域比较传统上集中于东德和西德之间的差异。全因死亡率和癌症相关死亡率最近的改善显示出一种超出已知东西部死亡率差异的多样区域模式。一种通用的可避免/可改善癌症死亡率定义方法被用于对长期趋势进行适当的区域比较。计算了1990 - 2014年期间男性和女性可预防和可改善癌症死亡率的标准化死亡率,以观察德国统一后特定癌症导致的性别特异性超额死亡率。为了进行区域比较,在德国东部、西北部和西南部定义了三个超级区域,以考虑长期区域过早死亡率和癌症相关死亡率模式、社会经济特征及年龄结构方面的相似性。由于可预防和可改善癌症死亡率通常推动了近期过早死亡率的趋势,我们的研究结果突显了当前可预防癌症死亡率的区域模式,即德国东部男性处于劣势,而德国西南部男性具有优势。在女性中,德国统一后,德国西北部和西南部的可预防癌症死亡率有所上升,但德国东部的可预防癌症死亡率有所下降,并趋近于德国西南部的模式。在可改善癌症死亡率方面,女性也呈现出类似模式。尽管男性中“传统的”可预防癌症死亡率东西方差距仍然明显,但我们的研究为女性可避免癌症死亡率中更多的区域多样性提供了一些线索。可避免癌症死亡率中正在形成的南北差异可能会改变德国未来区域癌症相关死亡率的趋势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb8a/6637310/4ae2e5ce40e9/fpubh-07-00187-g0001.jpg

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