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患者对拔管成功的预测。

Patients' prediction of extubation success.

机构信息

Intensive Care, Department of Intensive Care, Ente Ospedaliero Cantonale, Ospedale Regionale Bellinzona e Valli, 6500, Bellinzona, Switzerland.

出版信息

Intensive Care Med. 2010 Dec;36(12):2045-52. doi: 10.1007/s00134-010-1984-4. Epub 2010 Aug 6.

DOI:10.1007/s00134-010-1984-4
PMID:20689928
Abstract

PURPOSE

The spontaneous breathing trial (SBT)-relying on objective criteria assessed by the clinician-is the major diagnostic tool to determine if patients can be successfully extubated. However, little is known regarding the patient's subjective perception of autonomous breathing.

METHODS

We performed a prospective observational study in 211 mechanically ventilated adult patients successfully completing a SBT. Patients were randomly assigned to be interviewed during this trial regarding their prediction of extubation success. We compared post-extubation outcomes in three patient groups: patients confident (confidents; n = 115) or not (non-confidents; n = 38) of their extubation success and patients not subjected to interview (control group; n = 58).

RESULTS

Extubation success was more frequent in confidents than in non-confidents (90 vs. 45%; p < 0.001/positive likelihood ratio = 2.00) or in the control group (90 vs. 78%; p = 0.04). On the contrary, extubation failure was more common in non-confidents than in confidents (55 vs. 10%; p < 0.001/negative likelihood ratio = 0.19). Logistic regression analysis showed that extubation success was associated with patient's prediction [OR (95% CI): 9.2 (3.74-22.42) for confidents vs.non-confidents] as well as to age [0.72 (0.66-0.78) for age 75 vs. 65 and 1.31 (1.28-1.51) for age 55 vs. 65].

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that at the end of a sustained SBT, extubation success might be correlated to the patients' subjective perception of autonomous breathing. The results of this study should be confirmed by a large multicenter trial.

摘要

目的

依靠临床医生评估的客观标准进行的自主呼吸试验(SBT)是确定患者是否可以成功拔管的主要诊断工具。然而,对于患者对自主呼吸的主观感知知之甚少。

方法

我们对 211 例成功完成 SBT 的机械通气成年患者进行了前瞻性观察研究。患者在该试验期间被随机分配接受采访,以了解他们对拔管成功的预测。我们比较了三组患者的拔管后结局:对拔管成功有信心的患者(confidents;n = 115)或没有信心的患者(non-confidents;n = 38)以及未接受采访的患者(对照组;n = 58)。

结果

与 non-confidents(90%比 45%;p < 0.001/阳性似然比=2.00)或对照组(90%比 78%;p = 0.04)相比,confidents 组的拔管成功率更高。相反,non-confidents 组的拔管失败率更高(55%比 10%;p < 0.001/阴性似然比=0.19)。Logistic 回归分析显示,拔管成功与患者的预测有关[比值比(95%CI):confidents 比 non-confidents 为 9.2(3.74-22.42)],也与年龄有关[75 岁比 65 岁为 0.72(0.66-0.78),55 岁比 65 岁为 1.31(1.28-1.51)]。

结论

我们的数据表明,在持续 SBT 结束时,拔管成功可能与患者对自主呼吸的主观感知有关。这项研究的结果应该通过一项大型多中心试验来证实。

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Cuff-leak test for the diagnosis of upper airway obstruction in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Corticosteroids to prevent extubation failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Rate of reintubation in mechanically ventilated neurosurgical and neurologic patients: evaluation of a systematic approach to weaning and extubation.机械通气的神经外科和神经科患者的再插管率:对一种系统的撤机和拔管方法的评估。
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比例辅助通气时的呼吸功可预测拔管失败。
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Pooled Analysis of Central Venous Pressure and Brain Natriuretic Peptide Levels in Patients With Extubation Failure.拔管失败患者中心静脉压与脑钠肽水平的汇总分析
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Respiratory distress observation scales to predict weaning outcome.呼吸窘迫观察量表预测撤机结局。
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A Simple Weaning Model Based on Interpretable Machine Learning Algorithm for Patients With Sepsis: A Research of MIMIC-IV and eICU Databases.基于可解释机器学习算法的脓毒症患者简易撤机模型:MIMIC-IV和eICU数据库研究
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