Medical Research Council Laboratories, Fajara, Banjul, The Gambia.
PLoS One. 2010 Aug 18;5(8):e12242. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0012242.
BACKGROUND: A substantial decline in malaria was reported to have occurred over several years until 2007 in the western part of The Gambia, encouraging consideration of future elimination in this previously highly endemic region. Scale up of interventions has since increased with support from the Global Fund and other donors. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We continued to examine laboratory records at four health facilities previously studied and investigated six additional facilities for a 7 year period, adding data from 243,707 slide examinations, to determine trends throughout the country until the end of 2009. We actively detected infections in a community cohort of 800 children living in rural villages throughout the 2008 malaria season, and assayed serological changes in another rural population between 2006 and 2009. Proportions of malaria positive slides declined significantly at all of the 10 health facilities between 2003 (annual mean across all sites, 38.7%) and 2009 (annual mean, 7.9%). Statistical modelling of trends confirmed significant seasonality and decline over time at each facility. Slide positivity was lowest in 2009 at all sites, except two where lowest levels were observed in 2006. Mapping households of cases presenting at the latter sites in 2007-2009 indicated that these were not restricted to a few residual foci. Only 2.8% (22/800) of a rural cohort of children had a malaria episode in the 2008 season, and there was substantial serological decline between 2006 and 2009 in a separate rural area. CONCLUSIONS: Malaria has continued to decline in The Gambia, as indicated by a downward trend in slide positivity at health facilities, and unprecedented low incidence and seroprevalence in community surveys. We recommend intensification of control interventions for several years to further reduce incidence, prior to considering an elimination programme.
背景:2007 年前,冈比亚西部疟疾发病率大幅下降,这促使人们考虑在这个曾高度流行的地区实现未来消除疟疾的目标。在全球基金和其他捐助者的支持下,干预措施的规模自此有所扩大。
方法/主要发现:我们继续在之前研究的四个卫生机构检查实验室记录,并在另外六个机构进行调查,在 7 年期间增加了 243707 张涂片检查的数据,以确定该国在 2009 年底前的全国趋势。我们在 2008 年疟疾季节期间,在居住在农村村庄的 800 名儿童社区队列中积极检测感染情况,并在 2006 年至 2009 年期间在另一个农村人群中检测血清学变化。在 2003 年(所有地点的年平均)和 2009 年(年平均)之间,所有 10 个卫生机构的疟疾阳性涂片比例均显著下降(所有地点的年平均比例为 38.7%)。趋势的统计模型证实,每个机构的季节性和时间推移均呈显著下降。除了两个在 2006 年观察到最低水平的地点外,所有地点在 2009 年的涂片阳性率最低。在 2007 年至 2009 年期间,在最后两个地点就诊的病例家庭的地图绘制表明,这些病例并不局限于少数残余病灶。在 2008 年的季节中,农村儿童队列中只有 2.8%(22/800)有疟疾发作,在另一个农村地区,2006 年至 2009 年间血清学下降幅度很大。
结论:在冈比亚,疟疾继续下降,这表明卫生机构的涂片阳性率呈下降趋势,社区调查中的发病率和血清流行率前所未有地低。我们建议在考虑消除疟疾计划之前,加强控制干预措施数年,以进一步降低发病率。
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