Department of Economics, Queens College and the Graduate Center, City University of New York, Flushing, New York, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2010 Sep 14;5(9):e12157. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0012157.
Recent findings suggest advanced paternal age may be associated with impaired child outcomes, in particular, neurocognitive skills. Such patterns are worrisome given relatively universal trends in advanced countries toward delayed nuptiality and fertility. But nature and nurture are both important for child outcomes, and it is important to control for both when drawing inferences about either pathway.
We examined cross-sectional patterns in six developmental outcome measures among children in the U.S. Collaborative Perinatal Project (n = 31,346). Many of these outcomes at 8 mo, 4 y, and 7 y of age (Bayley scales, Stanford Binet Intelligence Scale, Graham-Ernhart Block Sort Test, Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children, Wide Range Achievement Test) are negatively correlated with paternal age when important family characteristics such as maternal education and number of siblings are not included as covariates. But controlling for family characteristics in general and mother's education in particular renders the effect of paternal age statistically insignificant for most developmental measures.
Assortative mating produces interesting relationships between maternal and paternal characteristics that can inject spurious correlation into observational studies via omitted variable bias. Controlling for both nature and nurture reveals little residual evidence of a link between child neurocognitive outcomes and paternal age in these data. Results suggest that benefits associated with the upward trend in maternal education may offset any negative effects of advancing paternal age.
最近的研究结果表明,父亲年龄较大可能与儿童发育结果受损有关,尤其是神经认知能力。鉴于发达国家普遍存在晚婚和晚育的趋势,这种模式令人担忧。但先天和后天因素对儿童发育结果都很重要,在推断任何一种途径时,都要同时控制这两个因素。
我们研究了美国合作围产期项目(n=31346)中 6 项发育结果测量指标在儿童中的横断面模式。在未将母亲教育程度和兄弟姐妹数量等重要家庭特征作为协变量纳入时,许多 8 个月、4 岁和 7 岁时的发育结果(贝利量表、斯坦福-比奈智力量表、格雷厄姆-埃尔哈特积木分类测验、韦氏儿童智力量表、广泛成就测验)与父亲年龄呈负相关。但总体上控制家庭特征,特别是母亲的教育程度,使大多数发育指标的父亲年龄效应在统计学上变得无意义。
选择交配会产生有趣的母子特征关系,通过忽略变量偏差,在观察性研究中注入虚假相关性。同时控制先天和后天因素,在这些数据中,儿童神经认知结果与父亲年龄之间几乎没有残留的关联证据。结果表明,与母亲教育水平上升相关的益处可能抵消了父亲年龄增长的任何负面影响。