Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Suzhou Industry Park, SuZhou, JiangSu, China.
Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2010 Dec;90(3):319-25. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2010.09.001. Epub 2010 Oct 8.
This study evaluates the effectiveness of three metabolic syndrome (MS) criteria in identifying cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the Chinese population.
3598 subjects were recruited from a cohort study on Prevention of Multiple Metabolic disorders and MS in Jiangsu of China (PMMJS), followed at 6.3 years. MS was diagnosed using criteria of the National Cholesterol Education Program's Adult Treatment Panel III (ATPIII), the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) and Chinese Diabetes Society (CDS). Cox regression model was used to analysis the association between MS and onset of CVD and T2DM. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, sensitivity and specificity were also used to test the ability of three MS criteria to identify CVD or T2DM.
Among three criteria, CDS has the highest specificity but lowest sensitivity. Using the CDS criterion, over 50 percent of patients would be misdiagnosed. ATPIII criterion has the shortest distance in ROC curve, lowest false positive rate and false negative rate for identifying CVD and T2DM. ATPIII+/IDF+ has lower ability to predict CVD than ATPIII+/IDF-. ATPIII+/IDF+ and ATPIII+/IDF- has similar ability to predict T2DM.
The ATPIII-MS criterion has the highest ability to predict CVD and T2DM. ATPIII is the best MS criterion for the Chinese population.
本研究评估了三种代谢综合征(MS)标准在识别中国人群中心血管疾病(CVD)和 2 型糖尿病(T2DM)的有效性。
3598 名受试者来自中国江苏省预防多种代谢紊乱和 MS 的队列研究(PMMJS),随访时间为 6.3 年。MS 采用美国国家胆固醇教育计划成人治疗专家组 III(ATPIII)、国际糖尿病联合会(IDF)和中国糖尿病学会(CDS)的标准进行诊断。Cox 回归模型用于分析 MS 与 CVD 和 T2DM 发病之间的关系。还使用接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线、敏感性和特异性来测试三种 MS 标准识别 CVD 或 T2DM 的能力。
在三种标准中,CDS 具有最高的特异性但最低的敏感性。使用 CDS 标准,超过 50%的患者会被误诊。ATPIII 标准在 ROC 曲线上的距离最短,用于识别 CVD 和 T2DM 的假阳性率和假阴性率最低。ATPIII+/IDF+ 预测 CVD 的能力低于 ATPIII+/IDF-。ATPIII+/IDF+ 和 ATPIII+/IDF- 预测 T2DM 的能力相似。
ATPIII-MS 标准对 CVD 和 T2DM 的预测能力最高。ATPIII 是中国人群中最好的 MS 标准。