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个体化是人类聚类现象的驱动力。

Individualization as driving force of clustering phenomena in humans.

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Interuniversity Center for Social Science Theory and Methodology, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.

出版信息

PLoS Comput Biol. 2010 Oct 21;6(10):e1000959. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000959.

Abstract

One of the most intriguing dynamics in biological systems is the emergence of clustering, in the sense that individuals self-organize into separate agglomerations in physical or behavioral space. Several theories have been developed to explain clustering in, for instance, multi-cellular organisms, ant colonies, bee hives, flocks of birds, schools of fish, and animal herds. A persistent puzzle, however, is the clustering of opinions in human populations, particularly when opinions vary continuously, such as the degree to which citizens are in favor of or against a vaccination program. Existing continuous opinion formation models predict "monoculture" in the long run, unless subsets of the population are perfectly separated from each other. Yet, social diversity is a robust empirical phenomenon, although perfect separation is hardly possible in an increasingly connected world. Considering randomness has not overcome the theoretical shortcomings so far. Small perturbations of individual opinions trigger social influence cascades that inevitably lead to monoculture, while larger noise disrupts opinion clusters and results in rampant individualism without any social structure. Our solution to the puzzle builds on recent empirical research, combining the integrative tendencies of social influence with the disintegrative effects of individualization. A key element of the new computational model is an adaptive kind of noise. We conduct computer simulation experiments demonstrating that with this kind of noise a third phase besides individualism and monoculture becomes possible, characterized by the formation of metastable clusters with diversity between and consensus within clusters. When clusters are small, individualization tendencies are too weak to prohibit a fusion of clusters. When clusters grow too large, however, individualization increases in strength, which promotes their splitting. In summary, the new model can explain cultural clustering in human societies. Strikingly, model predictions are not only robust to "noise"-randomness is actually the central mechanism that sustains pluralism and clustering.

摘要

生物系统中最有趣的动态之一是聚类的出现,即个体在物理或行为空间中自我组织成单独的聚集体。已经开发了几种理论来解释多细胞生物、蚁群、蜂群、鸟群、鱼群和兽群中的聚类现象。然而,一个持久的难题是人类群体中意见的聚类,特别是当意见连续变化时,例如公民对疫苗接种计划的支持或反对程度。现有的连续意见形成模型预测,除非人群的子集彼此完全分离,否则从长远来看会出现“单一文化”。然而,社会多样性是一个稳健的经验现象,尽管在一个日益互联的世界中,完美的分离几乎是不可能的。到目前为止,考虑随机性并没有克服理论上的不足。个体意见的小干扰会引发社会影响级联,这不可避免地导致单一文化,而较大的噪声会破坏意见聚类,并导致没有任何社会结构的猖獗个人主义。我们对这个难题的解决方案基于最近的实证研究,将社会影响的综合趋势与个体化的分解效应结合起来。新计算模型的一个关键要素是一种自适应噪声。我们进行计算机模拟实验表明,有了这种噪声,除了个人主义和单一文化之外,还可能出现第三种状态,其特征是形成具有多样性的亚稳态聚类和聚类内的共识。当聚类较小时,个体化趋势太弱,无法阻止聚类融合。然而,当聚类增长过大时,个体化趋势会增强,从而促进它们的分裂。总之,新模型可以解释人类社会中的文化聚类。引人注目的是,模型预测不仅对“噪声”具有鲁棒性——随机性实际上是维持多元化和聚类的核心机制。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/13b4/2958804/8570cbbf6811/pcbi.1000959.g001.jpg

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