Centre for Cognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, Department of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Int J Epidemiol. 2011 Jun;40(3):626-44. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyq190. Epub 2010 Oct 29.
A number of prospective cohort studies have examined the association between intelligence in childhood or youth and life expectancy in adulthood; however, the effect size of this association is yet to be quantified and previous reviews require updating.
The systematic review included an electronic search of EMBASE, MEDLINE and PSYCHINFO databases. This yielded 16 unrelated studies that met inclusion criteria, comprising 22,453 deaths among 1,107,022 participants. Heterogeneity was assessed, and fixed effects models were applied to the aggregate data. Publication bias was evaluated, and sensitivity analyses were conducted.
A 1-standard deviation (SD) advantage in cognitive test scores was associated with a 24% (95% confidence interval 23-25) lower risk of death, during a 17- to 69-year follow-up. There was little evidence of publication bias (Egger's intercept = 0.10, P = 0.81), and the intelligence-mortality association was similar for men and women. Adjustment for childhood socio-economic status (SES) in the nine studies containing these data had almost no impact on this relationship, suggesting that this is not a confounder of the intelligence-mortality association. Controlling for adult SES in five studies and for education in six studies attenuated the intelligence-mortality hazard ratios by 34 and 54%, respectively.
Future investigations should address the extent to which attenuation of the intelligence-mortality link by adult SES indicators is due to mediation, over-adjustment and/or confounding. The explanation(s) for association between higher early-life intelligence and lower risk of adult mortality require further elucidation.
多项前瞻性队列研究已经探讨了儿童或青少年时期的智力与成年后预期寿命之间的关系;然而,这种关联的效应大小尚未被量化,且之前的综述需要更新。
本系统综述包括对 EMBASE、MEDLINE 和 PSYCHINFO 数据库的电子检索。这产生了 16 项不相关的研究,符合纳入标准,包括 1107022 名参与者中的 22453 例死亡。评估了异质性,并对汇总数据应用了固定效应模型。评估了发表偏倚,并进行了敏感性分析。
认知测试分数提高 1 个标准差(SD)与死亡风险降低 24%(95%置信区间 23-25)相关,随访时间为 17 至 69 年。几乎没有发表偏倚的证据(Egger 截距=0.10,P=0.81),且男性和女性的智力-死亡率关联相似。在包含这些数据的九项研究中,调整儿童社会经济地位(SES)对这种关系几乎没有影响,这表明 SES 不是智力与死亡率关联的混杂因素。在五项研究中调整成年 SES,在六项研究中调整教育程度,分别使智力与死亡率的危险比降低了 34%和 54%。
未来的研究应探讨成年 SES 指标对智力与死亡率关联的衰减程度在多大程度上归因于中介、过度调整和/或混杂。需要进一步阐明与早期较高智力相关的较低成人死亡率的关联的解释。