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用于预测肝癌手术后患者生存的分期系统。

Staging systems for predicting survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after surgery.

机构信息

Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510120, Guangdong Province, China.

出版信息

World J Gastroenterol. 2010 Nov 7;16(41):5257-62. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v16.i41.5257.

Abstract

AIM

To compare the staging systems for stratifying and predicting the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after partial hepatectomy (PH).

METHODS

Clinical data about 438 HCC patients who underwent PH from January 1991 to December 2004 at our hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Tumor stage was evaluated following the Chinese tumor node metastasis (TNM) and barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) staging systems, respectively. Survival curves for the HCC patients were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method and differences were compared by the log-rank test. The accuracy of each system for predicting death of HCC patients was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

The HCC patients were classified into stages I-III, stages I-IV and stages A-C, according to the 3 staging systems, respectively. Log-rank test showed that the cumulative survival rate was significantly different for the HCC patients at 3 Chinese system stages, TNM stages I and II, TNM stages III and IV, and 3 BCLC stages (P < 0.05). However, no significant difference was found in the HCC patients at TNM stages II and III. The accuracy of the Chinese and BCLC staging systems was higher than that of the TNM staging system for predicting the survival rate of HCC patients.

CONCLUSION

The Chinese and BCLC staging systems are better for stratifying and predicting the prognosis of HCC patients after PH than the TNM staging system.

摘要

目的

比较肝癌患者行部分肝切除术后分层和预测预后的分期系统。

方法

回顾性分析 1991 年 1 月至 2004 年 12 月在我院行部分肝切除的 438 例肝癌患者的临床资料。分别采用中国肿瘤淋巴结转移(TNM)和巴塞罗那临床肝癌(BCLC)分期系统评估肿瘤分期。采用 Kaplan-Meier 法绘制肝癌患者的生存曲线,采用对数秩检验比较差异。通过计算受试者工作特征曲线下面积来评估各系统预测肝癌患者死亡的准确性。

结果

根据 3 种分期系统,肝癌患者分别被分为 I-III 期、I-IV 期和 A-C 期。对数秩检验显示,3 种中国分期系统、TNM 分期 I 和 II、TNM 分期 III 和 IV 以及 3 种 BCLC 分期的肝癌患者累积生存率差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。但是,TNM 分期 II 和 III 的肝癌患者之间差异无统计学意义。中国和 BCLC 分期系统预测肝癌患者生存率的准确性均高于 TNM 分期系统。

结论

与 TNM 分期系统相比,中国和 BCLC 分期系统更适合分层和预测肝癌患者行部分肝切除术后的预后。

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