Department of Epidemiology, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
PLoS One. 2010 Nov 11;5(11):e13939. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0013939.
To follow the impact of the 2009 influenza pandemic in Denmark, influenza surveillance was extended with a system monitoring potentially influenza-associated hospitalisations.
METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: National administrative data from 2004-2010 from the automatic reporting of all hospital visits and admissions in Denmark (population 5.5 million) were used. In-patient hospitalisations linked to ICD-10 codes for potentially influenza-associated conditions (influenza, viral and bacterial pneumonia, respiratory distress, and febrile convulsion) were aggregated by week and age groups; <5 years, 5-24 years, 25-64 years and ≥65 years. Weekly numbers of influenza-associated hospitalisations were plotted to follow the course of the pandemic. We calculated the total numbers of influenza-associated hospitalisations in each influenza season (week 30 to week 15, the following year). Risk ratios of being admitted with an influenza-associated condition in this season (2009/2010) compared to the previous five seasons (2004/2005-2008/2009) were calculated using binary regression. During the pandemic season, influenza-associated hospitalisations peaked in week 47, 2009. The total number of influenza-associated hospitalisations was 38,273 compared to the median of previous seasons of 35,662 (p = 0.28). The risk ratio of influenza-associated hospitalisations during the pandemic season compared to previous seasons was 1.63 (95%CI 1.49-1.78) for 5-24 year-olds and ranged between 0.98 and 1.08 for the other three age groups.
The 2009 pandemic influenza did not lead to an overall increase in the number of influenza-associated hospitalisations in Denmark in the 2009/2010 season and could be managed within existing hospital capacity. However, there was a disproportionally large impact on the age group 5-24 years. The influenza-associated hospitalisations during the 2009/2010 pandemic influenza season bore the signature features of historical pandemics: A skewed age-pattern and early out of season transmission.
为了跟踪丹麦 2009 年流感大流行的影响,流感监测系统扩展到监测可能与流感相关的住院情况。
方法/主要发现:利用丹麦(人口 550 万)自动报告的 2004-2010 年全国行政数据。根据 ICD-10 代码,将与流感、病毒性和细菌性肺炎、呼吸窘迫和热性惊厥等潜在流感相关疾病相关的住院情况按周和年龄组(<5 岁、5-24 岁、25-64 岁和≥65 岁)汇总。绘制流感相关住院人数的周数图,以跟踪大流行的进程。我们计算了每个流感季节(次年第 30 周到第 15 周)的流感相关住院总数。使用二元回归计算本季节(2009/2010 年)与前五个季节(2004/2005-2008/2009 年)相比,患流感相关疾病的住院风险比。在大流行季节,2009 年第 47 周流感相关住院人数达到高峰。流感相关住院总数为 38273 例,而前五个季节的中位数为 35662 例(p=0.28)。与前几个季节相比,大流行季节流感相关住院的风险比为 1.63(95%CI 1.49-1.78),5-24 岁年龄组的风险比为 0.98-1.08。
2009 年大流行流感并未导致丹麦 2009/2010 年流感季节流感相关住院人数的总体增加,并且可以在现有医院容量内进行管理。然而,对 5-24 岁年龄组的影响不成比例地大。2009 年/2010 年大流行流感季节的流感相关住院人数具有历史大流行的特征:年龄分布偏斜且季节前传播较早。