Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2N 1N4.
Accid Anal Prev. 2011 Jan;43(1):276-83. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.08.024.
Road crashes not only claim lives and inflict injuries but also create an economic burden to the society due to loss of productivity. Although numerous studies have been conducted to examine a multitude of factors contributing to the frequency and severity of crashes, very few studies have examined the influence of street pattern at a community level. This study examined the effect of different street patterns on crash severity using the City of Calgary as a case study. In this study, street pattern is classified into four categories: grid-iron, warped parallel, loops and lollipops, and mixed patterns. Their effects on injury risk are examined together with other factors including road features, drivers' characteristics, crash characteristics, environmental conditions and vehicle attributes. Pedestrian and bicycle crash data for the years 2003-2005 were utilized to develop a multinomial logit model of crash severity. Our results showed that compared to other street patterns, loops and lollipops design increases the probability of an injury but reduces the probability of fatality and property-damage-only in an event of a crash.
道路交通事故不仅造成生命损失和人身伤害,还会因生产力损失给社会带来经济负担。尽管已经有许多研究探讨了导致事故频率和严重程度的众多因素,但很少有研究考察社区层面街道格局的影响。本研究以卡尔加里市为例,检验了不同街道格局对事故严重程度的影响。在这项研究中,街道格局被分为四类:棋盘式、扭曲平行式、环路和棒棒糖式以及混合式。它们与其他因素一起,包括道路特征、驾驶员特征、事故特征、环境条件和车辆属性,对受伤风险的影响进行了检验。利用 2003 年至 2005 年的行人和自行车事故数据,建立了事故严重程度的多项逻辑回归模型。研究结果表明,与其他街道格局相比,环路和棒棒糖式设计会增加事故中受伤的概率,但会降低死亡和仅财产损失的概率。