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GRADE 指南:4. 评估证据质量——研究局限性(偏倚风险)。

GRADE guidelines: 4. Rating the quality of evidence--study limitations (risk of bias).

机构信息

Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario L8N 3Z5, Canada.

出版信息

J Clin Epidemiol. 2011 Apr;64(4):407-15. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2010.07.017. Epub 2011 Jan 19.

Abstract

In the GRADE approach, randomized trials start as high-quality evidence and observational studies as low-quality evidence, but both can be rated down if most of the relevant evidence comes from studies that suffer from a high risk of bias. Well-established limitations of randomized trials include failure to conceal allocation, failure to blind, loss to follow-up, and failure to appropriately consider the intention-to-treat principle. More recently recognized limitations include stopping early for apparent benefit and selective reporting of outcomes according to the results. Key limitations of observational studies include use of inappropriate controls and failure to adequately adjust for prognostic imbalance. Risk of bias may vary across outcomes (e.g., loss to follow-up may be far less for all-cause mortality than for quality of life), a consideration that many systematic reviews ignore. In deciding whether to rate down for risk of bias--whether for randomized trials or observational studies--authors should not take an approach that averages across studies. Rather, for any individual outcome, when there are some studies with a high risk, and some with a low risk of bias, they should consider including only the studies with a lower risk of bias.

摘要

在 GRADE 方法中,随机试验一开始被视为高质量证据,而观察性研究则被视为低质量证据,但如果大多数相关证据来自存在高偏倚风险的研究,那么两者都可能被降级。随机试验的既定局限性包括分配方案不保密、未设盲法、失访和未能适当考虑意向治疗原则。最近认识到的局限性包括因明显获益而提前停止研究和根据结果选择性报告结果。观察性研究的主要局限性包括使用不适当的对照和未能充分调整预后不均衡。偏倚风险可能因结局而异(例如,失访对全因死亡率的影响可能远小于对生活质量的影响),许多系统评价忽略了这一点。在决定是否因偏倚风险而降级时——无论是针对随机试验还是观察性研究——作者都不应采用跨研究平均的方法。相反,对于任何特定结局,如果有些研究存在高偏倚风险,而有些研究则存在低偏倚风险,那么他们应该考虑仅纳入偏倚风险较低的研究。

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