Jacobs University Bremen, Bremen, Germany.
Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2011 Mar;37(3):435-47. doi: 10.1177/0146167210397553.
Utilizing latent growth modeling, the long-term development of worries among peace movement supporters is examined. Data originate from a seven-wave German longitudinal study started in 1985 with on average 14-year-olds. Waves were interspersed 3 and a half years each. Activists are assumed to have lower (self-related) microworries (Hypothesis 1) and higher macroworries (concerned with larger entities; Hypothesis 2) than nonactivists at the onset of the study. Nonactivists who appraised the threat of nuclear war as high in 1985 are assumed to report worse mental health than their activist age-mates 21 years later (Hypothesis 3). Activists are assumed to express relatively more macroworries than nonactivists in midadulthood (Hypothesis 4). All four hypotheses were confirmed. Results are interpreted in a stress-coping (Lazarus) and resource (Elder) framework, suggesting that refraining from acting out against a perceived sociopolitical threat is a long-term risk for a positive mental health trajectory.
采用潜在增长模型，考察了和平运动支持者担忧情绪的长期发展。数据来源于一项始于 1985 年、以平均 14 岁青少年为对象的德国纵向研究的七波数据。每波数据之间间隔 3 年半。假设活动家比非活动家在研究开始时具有更低的（与自身相关的）微观烦恼（假设 1）和更高的宏观烦恼（关注更大的实体；假设 2）。假设在 1985 年将核战争威胁评估为高的非活动家，在 21 年后报告的心理健康状况比他们的活动家同龄人差（假设 3）。假设活动家在中年表达的宏观烦恼比非活动家相对更多（假设 4）。所有四个假设都得到了证实。研究结果在压力应对（拉扎勒斯）和资源（埃尔德）框架内进行了解释，表明避免针对感知到的社会政治威胁采取行动是积极心理健康轨迹的长期风险。
