Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong, China.
Int J Legal Med. 2013 Jan;127(1):25-33. doi: 10.1007/s00414-012-0666-x. Epub 2012 Jan 22.
The role of familial database search as a crime-solving tool has been increasingly recognized by forensic scientists. As an enhancement to the existing familial search approach on single source cases, this article presents our current progress in exploring the potential use of familial search to mixture cases. A novel method was established to predict the outcome of the search, from which a simple strategy for determining an appropriate scale of investigation by the police force is developed. Illustrated by an example using Swedish data, our approach is shown to have the potential for assisting the police force to decide on the scale of investigation, thereby achieving desirable crime-solving rate with reasonable cost.
家系数据库搜索作为一种破案工具的作用,已越来越被法医学家所认可。本文在单源案件中现有的家系搜索方法的基础上进行了扩展,探索了将家系搜索应用于混合案件的可能性。建立了一种新的方法来预测搜索的结果,由此开发了一种简单的策略,用于确定警察部队进行适当调查规模。通过使用瑞典数据的示例来说明,我们的方法具有辅助警察部队决定调查规模的潜力,从而以合理的成本实现理想的破案率。