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热浪对老年人群发病率和死亡率的影响:对近期研究的综述。

Heat wave impact on morbidity and mortality in the elderly population: a review of recent studies.

机构信息

Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.

出版信息

Maturitas. 2011 Jun;69(2):99-105. doi: 10.1016/j.maturitas.2011.03.008. Epub 2011 Apr 8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The on-going climate change is predicted to yield a growing number of extreme climate events which will increase in both intensity and frequency. Increased longevity is changing society's demographics. It is very likely this will have a direct impact on population health. Many studies have previously shown that the elderly in a society are among the most vulnerable to heat waves.

OBJECTIVES

With a rapidly growing number of publications on this subject the objective was to review the recent literature for research regarding the impact of heat waves and elevated temperature on the elderly with regards to mortality and morbidity.

METHODS

PubMed was searched to identify studies published in English between 1st of January 2008 and 31st of December 2010 using the following key words: heat wave, mortality, morbidity, elderly and temperature. The relationship between high temperature and mortality and/or morbidity had to be studied. Results for the elderly had to be provided.

RESULTS

Six studies of temperature-morbidity-relationship were found and 24 studies of temperature-mortality-relationship. Studies consistently reported increases in cardiovascular and respiratory mortality, as appeared also respiratory admissions to do during hot days and heat waves. However, the number of studies on morbidity published was much fewer. Few studies reported social, medical and environmental susceptibility factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Future research should focus on studying susceptibilities and to non-fatal events which are not as studied as mortality. Studies on the modification of type of urban environment, housing and mortality and morbidity in the elderly population are also needed.

摘要

背景

预计正在发生的气候变化将导致越来越多的极端气候事件,这些事件无论是在强度还是频率上都将增加。人类预期寿命的延长正在改变社会人口结构。这很可能会直接影响到人口健康。许多研究先前已经表明,社会中的老年人是最容易受到热浪影响的群体之一。

目的

由于关于这个主题的出版物数量不断增加,本研究旨在回顾最近的文献,研究热浪和高温对老年人死亡率和发病率的影响。

方法

使用以下关键词在 PubMed 上搜索 2008 年 1 月 1 日至 2010 年 12 月 31 日期间发表的英文研究:热浪、死亡率、发病率、老年人和温度。必须研究高温与死亡率和/或发病率之间的关系。必须提供老年人的结果。

结果

发现了 6 项关于温度-发病率关系的研究和 24 项关于温度-死亡率关系的研究。研究一致报告心血管和呼吸道死亡率增加,并且在炎热天气和热浪期间呼吸道疾病的发病率也有所增加。然而,发表的发病率研究数量要少得多。很少有研究报告社会、医疗和环境易感性因素。

结论

未来的研究应集中在研究易感性和非致命事件上,这些事件不如死亡率研究得那么充分。还需要研究城市环境、住房类型的改变以及老年人人口中的死亡率和发病率。

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