Holdstock Douglas
20 Tanglewood Close, Woking, Surrey GU22 8LG, U.K.
Environ Health Insights. 2008 Nov 11;2:117-22. doi: 10.4137/ehi.s1003.
IMPROVEMENTS IN THE PROVISION OF AN ACCEPTABLE STANDARD OF HEALTH CARE, PARTICULARLY IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD, WILL BE UNDERMINED BY THREE ONGOING PROCESSES: ongoing armed conflicts; the threat of global warming due to rising levels of greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide emitted by developed countries; and by rapidly rising populations. The key features of these three threats are summarised, and it is shown that interactions between them increase both the likelihood of their occurrence and the probable harm that they will cause. Some of the interactions are described, with ways of providing health care taking into account the threats and their interactions, and the paradox is emphasised that better health care in the developing world will further increase population growth followed by increased greenhouse gas emissions. Improved education for women and free and unlimited access to modern methods of contraception are vital.
在提供可接受的医疗保健标准方面取得的进展,尤其是在发展中世界,将受到三个持续过程的破坏:持续的武装冲突;由于温室气体水平上升,特别是发达国家排放的二氧化碳导致的全球变暖威胁;以及人口的迅速增长。总结了这三种威胁的关键特征,并表明它们之间的相互作用增加了它们发生的可能性以及可能造成的危害。描述了一些相互作用,以及考虑到这些威胁及其相互作用提供医疗保健的方法,并强调了一个悖论,即发展中世界更好的医疗保健将进一步加速人口增长,随后温室气体排放量增加。改善妇女教育以及免费和不受限制地获得现代避孕方法至关重要。