Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch-Institute, Berlin, Germany.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2011 Nov;5(6):e499-503. doi: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00251.x. Epub 2011 Apr 18.
Observations on the role of pre-symptomatic transmission in the spread of influenza virus are scanty. In June 2009, an outbreak of pandemic A(H1N1) 2009 infection occurred at a teenager's party in Germany. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors for pandemic A(H1N1) 2009 infection.
We performed a retrospective cohort study among party guests. A case was defined as pandemic A(H1N1) 2009 infection confirmed by rRT-PCR who developed influenza-like illness between 1 and 5 June 2009. Contact patterns among party guests were evaluated.
In eight (36%) of 27 party guests, the outcome was ascertained. A travel returnee from a country with endemic pandemic A(H1N1) 2009 who fell ill toward the end of the party was identified as the source case. Party guests with pandemic A(H1N1) 2009 infection had talked significantly longer to the source case than non-infected persons (P-value: 0·001). Importantly, none (0/9) of those who had left the party prior to the source case's symptom onset became infected compared to 7 (41%) of 17 who stayed overnight (P = 0·06), and these persons all had transmission-prone contacts to the source case.
In this outbreak with one index case, there was no evidence to support pre-symptomatic transmission of pandemic A(H1N1) 2009. Further evidence is required, ideally from larger studies with multiple index cases, to more accurately characterize the potential for pre-symptomatic transmission of influenza virus.
关于流感病毒在潜伏期传播作用的观察结果很少。2009 年 6 月,德国一次青少年聚会暴发了大流行的 A(H1N1)2009 感染。本研究的目的是确定大流行的 A(H1N1)2009 感染的危险因素。
我们对聚会客人进行了回顾性队列研究。病例定义为在 2009 年 6 月 1 日至 5 日期间通过 rRT-PCR 确诊为大流行的 A(H1N1)2009 感染并出现流感样疾病的人。评估了聚会客人之间的接触模式。
在 27 名聚会客人中,有 8 人(36%)的结果得以确定。从一个流行大流行的 A(H1N1)2009 的国家旅行归来的旅行者,在聚会结束时生病,被确定为源病例。患有大流行的 A(H1N1)2009 感染的聚会客人与源病例交谈的时间明显长于未感染的人(P 值:0·001)。重要的是,与在源病例症状发作前离开聚会的人相比,没有(0/9)人感染(P = 0·06),而这些人都与源病例有易发生传播的接触。
在本次暴发中有一个索引病例,没有证据支持大流行的 A(H1N1)2009 出现潜伏期传播。需要进一步的证据,理想情况下是来自多个索引病例的更大规模研究,以更准确地描述流感病毒潜伏期传播的潜力。