Department of Psychology, University of Central Florida, FL, USA.
J Consult Clin Psychol. 2011 Aug;79(4):458-69. doi: 10.1037/a0024108.
The current study tested opposing predictions stemming from the failure and acting out theories of depression-delinquency covariation.
Participants included a nationwide longitudinal sample of adolescents (N = 3,604) ages 12 to 17. Competing models were tested with cohort-sequential latent growth curve modeling to determine whether depressive symptoms at age 12 (baseline) predicted concurrent and age-related changes in delinquent behavior, whether the opposite pattern was apparent (delinquency predicting depression), and whether initial levels of depression predict changes in delinquency significantly better than vice versa.
Early depressive symptoms predicted age-related changes in delinquent behavior significantly better than early delinquency predicted changes in depressive symptoms. In addition, the impact of gender on age-related changes in delinquent symptoms was mediated by gender differences in depressive symptom changes, indicating that depressive symptoms are a particularly salient risk factor for delinquent behavior in girls.
Early depressive symptoms represent a significant risk factor for later delinquent behavior--especially for girls--and appear to be a better predictor of later delinquency than early delinquency is of later depression. These findings provide support for the acting out theory and contradict failure theory predictions.
本研究检验了源于抑郁与犯罪行为共变的失败和表现理论的对立预测。
参与者包括年龄在 12 至 17 岁的全国性青少年纵向样本(N=3604)。采用队列序列潜增长曲线模型检验竞争模型,以确定 12 岁(基线)时的抑郁症状是否预测了同时发生的和与年龄相关的犯罪行为变化,相反的模式是否明显(犯罪行为预测抑郁),以及初始抑郁水平是否比相反情况更能显著预测犯罪行为的变化。
早期抑郁症状对与年龄相关的犯罪行为变化的预测明显优于早期犯罪行为对抑郁症状变化的预测。此外,性别对犯罪行为症状与年龄相关变化的影响受抑郁症状变化性别差异的中介作用,这表明抑郁症状是女孩犯罪行为的一个特别显著的风险因素。
早期抑郁症状是后期犯罪行为的一个重要风险因素——尤其是对女孩而言——而且似乎比早期犯罪行为对后期抑郁的预测更能预测后期的犯罪行为。这些发现支持了表现理论,与失败理论的预测相矛盾。