School of Psychology, University of Aberdeen, UK.
Cortex. 2012 Sep;48(8):1009-16. doi: 10.1016/j.cortex.2011.06.021. Epub 2011 Jul 23.
Five inferential methods employed in single-case studies to compare a case to controls are examined; all of these make use of a t-distribution. It is shown that three of these ostensibly different methods are in fact strictly equivalent and are not fit for purpose; they are associated with grossly inflated Type I errors (these exceed even the error rate obtained when a case's score is converted to a z score and the latter used as a test statistic). When used as significance tests, the two remaining methods (Crawford and Howell's method and a prediction interval method first used by Barton and colleagues) are also equivalent and achieve control of the Type I error rate (the two methods do differ however in other important aspects). A number of broader issues also arise from the present findings, namely: (a) they underline the value of accompanying significance test results with the effect size for the difference between a case and controls, (b) they suggest that less care is often taken over statistical methods than over other aspects of single-case studies, and (c) they indicate that some neuropsychologists have a distorted conception of the nature of hypothesis testing in single-case research (it is argued that this may stem from a failure to distinguish between group studies and single-case studies).
五种用于将个案与对照进行比较的单案例研究推断方法被检验;所有这些方法都利用 t 分布。结果表明,这三种表面上不同的方法实际上是严格等效的,不适合目的;它们与严重夸大的Ⅰ型错误相关(这些错误甚至超过了当个案的分数转换为 z 分数并将后者用作检验统计量时获得的错误率)。当用作显著检验时,其余两种方法(Crawford 和 Howell 方法以及 Barton 及其同事首次使用的预测区间方法)也是等效的,并且可以控制Ⅰ型错误率(两种方法在其他重要方面确实有所不同)。目前的发现还引发了一些更广泛的问题,即:(a)它们强调在显著性检验结果的基础上,应附上个案与对照组之间差异的效应大小,(b)它们表明,在单案例研究中,人们对统计方法的关注往往不如对其他方面的关注,(c)它们表明,一些神经心理学家对单案例研究中假设检验的性质存在扭曲的概念(有人认为这可能源于未能区分组研究和单案例研究)。