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与澳大利亚 ICU 再入院风险增加相关的因素。

Factors associated with increased risk of readmission to intensive care in Australia.

机构信息

Department of Intensive Care, Allamanda Private Hospital, Southport, QLD, Australia.

出版信息

Intensive Care Med. 2011 Nov;37(11):1800-8. doi: 10.1007/s00134-011-2318-x. Epub 2011 Aug 16.

DOI:10.1007/s00134-011-2318-x
PMID:21845504
Abstract

PURPOSE

To determine the epidemiology, in-hospital mortality, trends, patient characteristics and predictors of intensive care unit (ICU) readmission in Australia.

METHODS

A retrospective longitudinal study of data for 38 Australian ICUs extracted from the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database (ANZICS-ADP) for the years 2000-2007. Demographic, diagnostic, physiological and outcome data were analysed. A multivariate model was constructed to identify risk factors for ICU readmission. Outcomes examined included observed and risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 247,103 patients were discharged alive from their first ICU admission; 13,598 (5.5%) were readmitted at least once. Variables associated with an odds ratio greater than 1.05 for readmission (p < 0.001) were an initial ICU admission source other than elective surgery, any chronic health variable on severity scoring, tertiary hospital ICU and discharge between 6 p.m. and 6 a.m. Five initial diagnoses were associated with an odds ratio (OR) greater than 2 for readmission (p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality in readmitted patients was 20.7% compared with 4.4% in those not readmitted. Readmission rates have not changed over the study period. After adjustment for illness severity and readmission propensity, ICU readmission remained significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 5.4, 95%, confidence interval (CI) 5.1-5.7).

CONCLUSIONS

Many risk factors for increased ICU readmission were identified in this study including ICU discharge between 6 p.m. and 6 a.m. This was the only modifiable variable studied. Prospective studies are required to identify other factors and to determine whether interventions may reduce ICU readmission and its high associated in-hospital mortality.

摘要

目的

确定澳大利亚的流行病学、院内死亡率、趋势、患者特征和重症监护病房(ICU)再入院的预测因素。

方法

这是一项对 2000 年至 2007 年澳大利亚和新西兰重症监护学会成人患者数据库(ANZICS-ADP)中 38 个澳大利亚 ICU 提取的数据进行的回顾性纵向研究。分析了人口统计学、诊断、生理学和结果数据。建立了一个多变量模型来确定 ICU 再入院的危险因素。检查的结果包括观察到的和风险调整后的院内死亡率。

结果

共有 247103 名患者从首次 ICU 入院中存活出院;其中 13598 人(5.5%)至少再入院一次。与再入院几率比大于 1.05(p < 0.001)相关的变量是初始 ICU 入院来源不是择期手术、严重程度评分中有任何慢性健康变量、三级医院 ICU 和下午 6 点至上午 6 点之间出院。有五个初始诊断与再入院几率比大于 2(p < 0.001)相关。再入院患者的院内死亡率为 20.7%,而未再入院患者的院内死亡率为 4.4%。在研究期间,再入院率没有变化。在调整疾病严重程度和再入院倾向后,ICU 再入院与院内死亡率仍显著相关(OR 5.4,95%置信区间(CI)5.1-5.7)。

结论

本研究确定了许多增加 ICU 再入院的危险因素,包括下午 6 点至上午 6 点之间的 ICU 出院。这是唯一研究的可改变变量。需要前瞻性研究来确定其他因素,并确定干预措施是否可以降低 ICU 再入院及其高相关的院内死亡率。

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