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中国北京亚微米级颗粒物空气污染与心血管病死亡率。

Sub-micrometer particulate air pollution and cardiovascular mortality in Beijing, China.

机构信息

Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, Germany.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2011 Nov 15;409(24):5196-204. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.08.023. Epub 2011 Sep 21.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

While the link between particulate matter and cardiovascular mortality is well established, it is not fully investigated and understood which properties of the aerosol might be responsible for the health effects, especially in polluted mega-city areas.

OBJECTIVES

Our goal was to explore the association between daily cardiovascular mortality and different particle metrics in the sub-micrometer range in Beijing, China.

METHODS

We obtained daily counts of cause-specific cardiovascular deaths in the Beijing urban area for the period March 2004 to August 2005. Concurrently, continuous measurements of particle number size distributions were performed. Particle number concentrations (NC) between 0.003 μm and 0.8 μm were converted to particle mass and surface area concentrations assuming spherical particles. Semi-parametric Poisson regression models adjusting for trend, seasonality, day of the week, and meteorology were used to estimate immediate, delayed and cumulative particle effects. Additionally, effect modification by air mass origin was investigated.

RESULTS

We observed associations between daily cardiovascular mortality and particle NC for a 2-days delay. Moreover, nearly all particle metrics showed 2-days delayed associations with ischemic heart disease mortality. The strongest association was found for particle NC in the size range 0.03-0.1 μm (7.1% increase in daily mortality with a 95%-confidence interval of 2.9%-11.5%, per an increase of 6250 particles/cm3). Results for surface and mass concentrations with a lag of two days indicated effect modification by air mass origin, whereas effects of particle NC were not modified.

CONCLUSIONS

Results show an elevated risk of cardiovascular mortality in Beijing from short-term exposure to particulate air pollution in the sub-micrometer range. Results also indicate that locally produced smaller particles and regionally transported particles may exhibit different effects in Beijing.

摘要

背景

虽然颗粒物与心血管死亡率之间的联系已经得到充分证实,但仍未完全研究和了解气溶胶的哪些特性可能对健康产生影响,尤其是在污染严重的特大城市地区。

目的

我们的目标是探讨中国北京亚微米范围内不同颗粒物指标与每日心血管死亡率之间的关系。

方法

我们获得了 2004 年 3 月至 2005 年 8 月期间北京市区特定原因心血管死亡的每日计数。同时,进行了连续的颗粒物粒径分布测量。将 0.003μm 至 0.8μm 范围内的颗粒物数浓度(NC)转换为假设为球形的颗粒物质量和表面积浓度。使用半参数泊松回归模型调整趋势、季节性、星期几和气象因素,以估计即时、延迟和累积颗粒物的影响。此外,还研究了空气团源的影响修饰作用。

结果

我们观察到每日心血管死亡率与颗粒物 NC 之间存在 2 天的延迟关联。此外,几乎所有颗粒物指标均显示出与缺血性心脏病死亡率的 2 天延迟关联。在 0.03-0.1μm 粒径范围内的颗粒物 NC 与每日死亡率之间的关联最强(每日死亡率增加 7.1%,95%-置信区间为 2.9%-11.5%,每增加 6250 个粒子/cm3)。2 天滞后的表面积和质量浓度的结果表明空气团源存在效应修饰,而颗粒物 NC 的影响则没有修饰。

结论

结果表明,北京短期暴露于亚微米范围内的颗粒物空气污染会增加心血管死亡率的风险。结果还表明,本地产生的较小颗粒和区域传输的颗粒可能在北京市表现出不同的影响。

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