Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Public Health, College of Medicine, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria.
AIDS Res Ther. 2011 Dec 21;8:44. doi: 10.1186/1742-6405-8-44.
Behaviour change which is highly influenced by risk perception is a major challenge that HIV prevention efforts need to confront. In this study, we examined the validity of self-reported likelihood of HIV infection among rural and urban reproductive age group Nigerians.
This is a cross-sectional study of a nationally representative sample of Nigerians. We investigated the concordance between self-reported likelihood of HIV and actual results of HIV test. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess whether selected respondents' characteristics affect the validity of self-reports.
The HIV prevalence in the urban population was 3.8% (3.1% among males and 4.6% among females) and 3.5% in the rural areas (3.4% among males and 3.7% among females). Almost all the respondents who claimed they have high chances of being infected with HIV actually tested negative (91.6% in urban and 97.9% in rural areas). In contrast, only 8.5% in urban areas and 2.1% in rural areas, of those who claimed high chances of been HIV infected were actually HIV positive. About 2.9% and 4.3% from urban and rural areas respectively tested positive although they claimed very low chances of HIV infection. Age, gender, education and residence are factors associated with validity of respondents' self-perceived risk of HIV infection.
Self-perceived HIV risk is poorly sensitive and moderately specific in the prediction of HIV status. There are differences in the validity of self-perceived risk of HIV across rural and urban populations.
行为改变受风险认知的影响很大,是艾滋病毒预防工作需要面对的主要挑战。在这项研究中,我们检验了农村和城市育龄期尼日利亚人自我报告的艾滋病毒感染可能性的有效性。
这是一项对尼日利亚全国代表性样本的横断面研究。我们调查了自我报告的艾滋病毒感染可能性与艾滋病毒检测实际结果之间的一致性。采用多变量逻辑回归分析来评估选定的受访者特征是否会影响自我报告的有效性。
城市人口中的艾滋病毒流行率为 3.8%(男性为 3.1%,女性为 4.6%),农村地区为 3.5%(男性为 3.4%,女性为 3.7%)。几乎所有声称自己有很高感染艾滋病毒可能性的人实际上检测结果为阴性(城市地区为 91.6%,农村地区为 97.9%)。相比之下,城市地区只有 8.5%和农村地区只有 2.1%的人声称自己有很高感染艾滋病毒的可能性,实际上是艾滋病毒阳性。分别有 2.9%和 4.3%的城市和农村地区的人尽管声称感染艾滋病毒的可能性非常低,但检测结果呈阳性。年龄、性别、教育程度和居住地是与受访者自我感知艾滋病毒感染风险有效性相关的因素。
自我感知艾滋病毒风险在预测艾滋病毒状况方面的敏感性较低,特异性中等。农村和城市人口的自我感知艾滋病毒风险的有效性存在差异。