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老年人群的多病共存模式。来自 KORA-Age 研究的结果。

Patterns of multimorbidity in the aged population. Results from the KORA-Age study.

机构信息

Institute of Epidemiology II, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2012;7(1):e30556. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0030556. Epub 2012 Jan 23.

Abstract

Multimorbidity is a common problem in aged populations with a wide range of individual and societal consequences. The objective of the study was to explore patterns of comorbidity and multimorbidity in an elderly population using different analytical approaches. Data were gathered from the population-based KORA-Age project, which included 4,127 persons aged 65-94 years living in the city of Augsburg and its two surrounding counties in Southern Germany. Information on the presence of 13 chronic conditions was collected in a standardized telephone interview and a self-administered questionnaire. Patterns of comorbidity and multimorbidity were analyzed using prevalence figures, logistic regression models and exploratory tetrachoric factor analysis. The prevalence of multimorbidity (≥2 diseases) was 58.6% in the total sample. Hypertension and diabetes (Odds Ratio [OR] 2.95, 99.58% confidence interval [CI] [2.19-3.96]), as well as hypertension and stroke (OR 2.00, 99.58% CI [1.26-3.16]) most often occurred in combination. This association was independent of age, sex and the presence of other conditions. Using factor analysis, we identified four patterns of multimorbidity: the first pattern includes cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, the second includes joint, liver, lung and eye diseases, the third covers mental and neurologic diseases and the fourth pattern includes gastrointestinal diseases and cancer. 44% of the persons were assigned to at least one of the four multimorbidity patterns; 14% could be assigned to both the cardiovascular/metabolic and the joint/liver/lung/eye pattern. Further common pairs were the mental/neurologic pattern combined with the cardiovascular/metabolic pattern (7.2%) or the joint/liver/lung/eye pattern (5.3%), respectively. Our results confirmed the existence of co-occurrence of certain diseases in elderly persons, which is not caused by chance. Some of the identified patterns of multimorbidity and their overlap may indicate common underlying pathological mechanisms.

摘要

多发病是老年人群体中常见的问题,会对个人和社会产生广泛影响。本研究的目的是使用不同的分析方法探讨老年人群体中的共病和多发病模式。数据来自基于人群的 KORA-Age 项目,该项目包括德国南部奥格斯堡市及其周边两个县的 4127 名 65-94 岁的居民。通过标准化电话访谈和自我管理问卷收集了 13 种慢性疾病的患病情况。使用患病率、逻辑回归模型和探索性 tetrachoric 因子分析来分析共病和多发病模式。总样本中多发病(≥2 种疾病)的患病率为 58.6%。高血压和糖尿病(优势比[OR]2.95,99.58%置信区间[CI] [2.19-3.96])以及高血压和中风(OR 2.00,99.58% CI [1.26-3.16])最常同时发生。这种关联独立于年龄、性别和其他疾病的存在。使用因子分析,我们确定了四种多发病模式:第一种模式包括心血管和代谢疾病,第二种模式包括关节、肝脏、肺部和眼部疾病,第三种模式涵盖精神和神经系统疾病,第四种模式包括胃肠道疾病和癌症。44%的人被归入至少一种多发病模式;14%的人可归入心血管/代谢和关节/肝脏/肺部/眼部两种模式。进一步常见的组合是精神/神经系统疾病与心血管/代谢疾病(7.2%)或关节/肝脏/肺部/眼部疾病(5.3%)组合。我们的结果证实了老年人群中某些疾病同时发生的现象并非偶然,一些确定的多发病模式及其重叠可能表明存在共同的潜在病理机制。

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