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一种优化调整程序,可最大限度地减少多选择决策中的实验时间。

An optimal adjustment procedure to minimize experiment time in decisions with multiple alternatives.

机构信息

School of Psychology, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, New South Wales, Australia.

出版信息

Psychon Bull Rev. 2012 Apr;19(2):339-48. doi: 10.3758/s13423-012-0216-z.

Abstract

Decisions between multiple alternatives typically conform to Hick's Law: Mean response time increases log-linearly with the number of choice alternatives. We recently demonstrated context effects in Hick's Law, showing that patterns of response latency and choice accuracy were different for easy versus difficult blocks. The context effect explained previously observed discrepancies in error rate data and provided a new challenge for theoretical accounts of multialternative choice. In the present article, we propose a novel approach to modeling context effects that can be applied to any account that models the speed-accuracy trade-off. The core element of the approach is "optimality" in the way an experimental participant might define it: minimizing the total time spent in the experiment, without making too many errors. We show how this approach can be included in an existing Bayesian model of choice and highlight its ability to fit previous data as well as to predict novel empirical context effects. The model is shown to provide better quantitative fits than a more flexible heuristic account.

摘要

人们在多个选项之间进行决策时,通常符合希克定律:平均反应时间与选择选项的数量呈对数线性增加。我们最近在希克定律中证明了上下文效应,表明在容易和困难的任务中,反应时和选择准确性的模式有所不同。之前已经解释了上下文效应观察到的误差率数据中的差异,并为多选项选择的理论解释提供了新的挑战。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法来建模上下文效应,该方法可应用于任何对速度-准确性权衡进行建模的理论。该方法的核心要素是实验参与者可能定义的“最优性”:在实验中花费的总时间最小,而错误最少。我们展示了如何将此方法包含在现有的选择贝叶斯模型中,并强调了它能够拟合以前的数据以及预测新的经验上下文效应的能力。该模型显示出比更灵活的启发式模型更好的定量拟合。

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