Department of Geography and the Environment, University of Texas, Austin, TX 78712, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Mar 6;109(10):3628-31. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1114772109. Epub 2012 Feb 27.
Historical collapse of ancient states or civilizations has raised new awareness about its possible relevance to current issues of sustainability, in the context of global change. This Special Feature examines 12 case studies of societies under stress, of which seven suffered severe transformation. Outcomes were complex and unpredictable. Five others overcame breakdown through environmental, political, or socio-cultural resilience, which deserves as much attention as the identification of stressors. Response to environmental crises of the last millennium varied greatly according to place and time but drew from traditional knowledge to evaluate new information or experiment with increasing flexibility, even if modernization or intensification were decentralized and protracted. Longer-term diachronic experience offers insight into how societies have dealt with acute stress, a more instructive perspective for the future than is offered by apocalyptic scenarios.
历史上古代国家或文明的崩溃引起了人们对其与当前可持续性问题的关联的新认识,特别是在全球变化的背景下。本特刊考察了 12 个处于压力下的社会案例研究,其中 7 个遭受了严重的转型。结果是复杂和不可预测的。另外 5 个通过环境、政治或社会文化的恢复力克服了崩溃,这值得关注,就像识别压力源一样。上一个千年的环境危机应对方式因地点和时间而异,但都利用了传统知识来评估新信息或进行更灵活的实验,即使现代化或集约化是分散和长期的。从更长时间的历时经验中可以深入了解社会如何应对急性压力,这为未来提供了比世界末日情景更有启发性的视角。