Snyder Brian F
Department of Environmental Science, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, USA.
Sustain Sci. 2020;15(4):1087-1099. doi: 10.1007/s11625-020-00803-z. Epub 2020 Apr 6.
Anthropogenic changes are accelerating and threaten the future of life on earth. While the proximate mechanisms of these anthropogenic changes are well studied (e.g., climate change, biodiversity loss, population growth), the evolutionary causality of these anthropogenic changes have been largely ignored. Anthroecological theory (AET) proposes that the ultimate cause of anthropogenic environmental change is multi-level selection for niche construction and ecosystem engineering. Here, we integrate this theory with Lotka's Maximum Power Principle and propose a model linking energy extraction from the environment with genetic, technological and cultural evolution to increase human ecosystem carrying capacity. Carrying capacity is partially determined by energetic factors such as the net energy a population can acquire from its environment and the efficiency of conversion from energy input to offspring output. These factors are under Darwinian genetic selection in all species, but in humans, they are also determined by technology and culture. If there is genetic or non-genetic heritable variation in the ability of an individual or social group to increase its carrying capacity, then we hypothesize that selection or cultural evolution will act to increase carrying capacity. Furthermore, if this evolution of carrying capacity occurs faster than the biotic components of the ecological system can respond via their own evolution, then we hypothesize that unsustainable ecological changes will result.
人为变化正在加速,并威胁着地球上生命的未来。虽然这些人为变化的直接机制已得到充分研究(例如气候变化、生物多样性丧失、人口增长),但这些人为变化的进化因果关系在很大程度上被忽视了。人类生态理论(AET)提出,人为环境变化的最终原因是对生态位构建和生态系统工程的多层次选择。在此,我们将该理论与洛特卡的最大功率原理相结合,并提出一个模型,将从环境中获取能量与遗传、技术和文化进化联系起来,以提高人类生态系统的承载能力。承载能力部分由能量因素决定,例如种群从其环境中获取的净能量以及从能量输入到后代产出的转化效率。这些因素在所有物种中都受到达尔文遗传选择的影响,但在人类中,它们也由技术和文化决定。如果个体或社会群体提高其承载能力的能力存在遗传或非遗传的可遗传变异,那么我们假设选择或文化进化将促使承载能力增加。此外,如果这种承载能力的进化速度快于生态系统的生物成分通过自身进化做出反应的速度,那么我们假设将导致不可持续的生态变化。