Department of Health Policy, School of Public Health, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland.
Hum Resour Health. 2012 Apr 30;10:8. doi: 10.1186/1478-4491-10-8.
Migration and ethical recruitment of health care workers is receiving increased attention worldwide. Europe's aging population is creating new opportunities for medical doctors for finding employment in other countries, particularly those of a better standard of living.
We conducted a survey among 1214 medical students in five out of eleven universities in Poland with medical schools in October 2008. A series of statistical tests was applied to analyse the characteristics of potential migrants. Projections were obtained using statistical analyses: descriptive, multifactorial logistic regression and other statistical methods .
We can forecast that 26-36% of Polish medical students will emigrate over the next few years; 62% of respondents estimated the likelihood of emigration at 50%. Students in their penultimate year of study declared a stronger desire to migrate than those in the final year. At the same time, many students were optimistic about career opportunities in Poland. Also noted among students were: the decline in interest in leaving among final year students, their moderate elaboration of departure plans, and their generally optimistic views about the opportunities for professional development in Poland.
The majority of Polish students see the emigration as a serious alternative to the continuation of their professional training. This trend can pose a serious threat to the Polish health care system, however the observed decline of the interest in leaving among final year students, the moderate involvement in concrete departure plans and the optimistic views about the opportunities for professional development in Poland suggest that the actual scale of brain drain of young Polish doctors due to emigration will be more limited than previously feared.
全球范围内，医疗工作者的移民和伦理招聘受到了越来越多的关注。欧洲人口老龄化正在为医生在其他国家寻找就业机会创造新的机会，尤其是那些生活水平更高的国家。
我们于 2008 年 10 月在波兰的十一所大学中的五所大学对 1214 名医学生进行了调查。我们应用了一系列统计检验来分析潜在移民的特征。使用统计分析：描述性、多因素逻辑回归和其他统计方法来获得预测。
我们可以预测，在未来几年内，将有 26-36%的波兰医学生会移民；62%的受访者估计移民的可能性为 50%。最后一年的学生比最后一年的学生更渴望移民。同时，许多学生对波兰的职业机会持乐观态度。在学生中还注意到：最后一年的学生离开的兴趣下降，他们对离开的计划有了一定的阐述，并且对波兰专业发展机会普遍持乐观态度。
大多数波兰学生将移民视为继续专业培训的一种重要选择。这种趋势可能对波兰的医疗保健系统构成严重威胁，但是，最后一年的学生对离开的兴趣下降，对具体离开计划的适度参与以及对波兰专业发展机会的乐观态度表明，由于移民而导致的年轻波兰医生的实际人才流失规模将比之前担心的要小。
