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带着不确定性生活。

Living with uncertainty.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Gettysburg College, Gettysburg, PA 17325, USA.

出版信息

Trends Parasitol. 2012 Jul;28(7):261-6. doi: 10.1016/j.pt.2012.04.006. Epub 2012 May 30.

Abstract

The persistence of highly endemic parasitic, bacterial and viral diseases makes individuals and populations vulnerable to emerging and re-emerging diseases. Evaluating the role of multiple component, often interacting, causes of disease may be impossible with research tools designed to isolate single causes. Similarly, it may not be possible to identify statistically significant treatment effects, even for interventions known to be effective, when multiple morbidities are present. Evidence continues to accumulate that nutritional deficiencies, bacterial, viral and parasitic coinfections accelerate HIV transmission. Inclusion of antiparasitics and other beneficial interventions in HIV-prevention protocols is impeded by reliance on inappropriate methodologies. Lack of full scientific certainty is not a reason for postponing safe, cost-effective measures to prevent irreversible damage.

摘要

高度流行的寄生虫、细菌和病毒疾病的持续存在,使个人和人群易感染新出现和再现的疾病。使用旨在隔离单一病因的研究工具,可能无法评估多种(往往相互作用的)病因在疾病中的作用。同样,当存在多种疾病时,即使对于已知有效的干预措施,也可能无法确定具有统计学意义的治疗效果。有证据不断积累表明,营养缺乏、细菌、病毒和寄生虫合并感染会加速 HIV 的传播。由于依赖不适当的方法,抗寄生虫药物和其他有益干预措施纳入艾滋病毒预防方案受到阻碍。缺乏充分的科学确定性并不是推迟采取安全、具有成本效益的措施以防止不可逆转损害的理由。

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