Institute for Occupational Epidemiology and Risk Assessment of Evonik Industries, Essen, Germany.
J Occup Med Toxicol. 2012 Jun 7;7(1):10. doi: 10.1186/1745-6673-7-10.
The Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study (DEMS) is an outstanding epidemiological project on the association between occupational diesel exhaust exposures, measured as long-term respirable elemental carbon (REC) estimates, and lung cancer mortality in a large cohort of US miners. Two articles published recently (Attfield et al. (J Natl Cancer Inst Epub, 2012), Silverman et al. (J Natl Cancer Inst Epub, 2012)) dsescribed the epidemiological findings. These papers are expected to have considerable impact on the evaluation of the carcinogenic potential of diesel exhaust and, furthermore, on occupational and environmental limit value discussions related to diesel motor emissions and particle exposures. DEMS found remarkable exposure-response relationships between REC exposure estimates and lung cancer mortality - conditional on a pronounced effect of surface vs. underground work on lung cancer risk. If this risk factor is ignored the estimated REC-lung cancer association is attenuated substantially. The authors relied on this risk factor in their main analyses. However, this factor "surface/underground work" remained unexplained. The factor lead the authors to introduce unusual cross-product terms of location and smoking in adjustment procedures and even caused the authors to hypothesize that high REC exposures are protective against lung cancer excess risks due to smoking. To understand the reliability of these conclusions, we should ask basic questions about the data collection process in DEMS: Did the mortality follow-up procedures suffer from errors like those that affected the NCI formaldehyde cohort study? Are the REC and/or smoking data reliable, and are these data collected/constructed in such a way that the procedures allow valid comparisons between surface and underground workers? Without clarifying the issues raised in this Commentary the Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study remains to be difficult to interpret.
矿工柴油机排气研究(DEMS)是一项杰出的流行病学项目,研究了职业柴油机排气暴露与美国矿工大型队列肺癌死亡率之间的关系,柴油机排气暴露的测量指标为长期可吸入元素碳(REC)估计值。最近发表的两篇文章(Attfield 等人,(J Natl Cancer Inst Epub,2012),Silverman 等人,(J Natl Cancer Inst Epub,2012))描述了这项研究的流行病学发现。这些论文有望对柴油机排气致癌潜力的评估产生重大影响,并且进一步对与柴油机排放和颗粒暴露相关的职业和环境限值讨论产生影响。DEMS 发现 REC 暴露估计值与肺癌死亡率之间存在显著的暴露-反应关系,前提是表面工作与地下工作对肺癌风险的影响明显。如果忽略这个风险因素,估计的 REC-肺癌关联就会大大减弱。作者在主要分析中依赖于这个风险因素。然而,这个因素“表面/地下工作”仍然没有得到解释。这个因素促使作者在调整程序中引入了位置和吸烟的不寻常交叉乘积项,甚至导致作者假设高 REC 暴露可以预防因吸烟导致的肺癌超额风险。为了理解这些结论的可靠性,我们应该就 DEMS 中的数据收集过程提出一些基本问题:死亡率随访程序是否存在像影响 NCI 甲醛队列研究的那些错误?REC 和/或吸烟数据是否可靠,并且这些数据是否以允许对表面和地下工人进行有效比较的方式进行收集/构建?如果不澄清本评论中提出的问题,矿工柴油机排气研究仍然难以解释。