Gastroenterology Department, Kaiser Permanente, Fremont, CA 94538, USA.
Hepatology. 2013 Jul;58(1):21-30. doi: 10.1002/hep.26110. Epub 2012 Dec 12.
The natural history of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in a U.S. population has not been well described. We identified the causes of death in 6,689 health plan members infected with HBV who were followed between March 1, 1996 and December 31, 2005. Causes of death were grouped into HBV-related (subdivided into decompensated cirrhosis [DCC] and hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC]), cancer, cardiovascular, and other/unknown. The study cohort included 3,244 females and 3,445 males; 68.3% were of Asian-Pacific Islander (API) descent, 11.8% were white (non-Hispanic), and 19.9% were of other or unknown race. Exposure to HBV antivirals and preexisting comorbidities were uncommon. Males had higher overall 10-year death rates than females, both for total deaths (8.9% versus 4.1%) and for HBV-related deaths (4.8% versus 1.2%). The death rate rose markedly with increasing age, and approximately 40% of all deaths in subjects over the age of 40 were HBV related. The death rate from HCC was twice that of DCC. HCC deaths represented 70% of cancer deaths in males and 37% in females. On multivariable analysis, when subjects with antecedent HCC and DCC were excluded, the only significant predictor of HBV mortality in both sexes was age.
HBV was the cause of death in over 40% of those who died during the study, and the mortality increased markedly with increasing age over 40 in males and over 50 in females. HBV-related mortality was four times more common in males than in females and was as common in non-Asians as in those of API origin. HBV-related deaths were twice as common from HCC as from DCC.
美国人群中乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)感染的自然史尚未得到很好的描述。我们确定了在 1996 年 3 月 1 日至 2005 年 12 月 31 日期间接受随访的 6689 名 HBV 感染健康计划成员的死亡原因。死亡原因分为 HBV 相关(分为失代偿性肝硬化[DCC]和肝细胞癌[HCC])、癌症、心血管和其他/未知。研究队列包括 3244 名女性和 3445 名男性;68.3%为亚太裔(API),11.8%为白人(非西班牙裔),19.9%为其他或未知种族。HBV 抗病毒药物暴露和预先存在的合并症并不常见。男性的 10 年总死亡率和 HBV 相关死亡率均高于女性,总死亡率分别为 8.9%和 4.1%,HBV 相关死亡率分别为 4.8%和 1.2%。死亡率随年龄增长而显著上升,40 岁以上人群中约有 40%的死亡与 HBV 相关。HCC 的死亡率是 DCC 的两倍。HCC 死亡占男性癌症死亡的 70%,女性的 37%。多变量分析时,排除有 HCC 和 DCC 既往史的患者后,男性和女性 HBV 死亡率的唯一显著预测因素是年龄。
在研究期间死亡的患者中,超过 40%的死亡原因是 HBV,死亡率随年龄增长而显著上升,男性在 40 岁以上,女性在 50 岁以上。男性 HBV 相关死亡率是女性的四倍,非亚洲人与 API 起源的人一样常见。HBV 相关死亡中有两倍是 HCC 引起的,而不是 DCC。