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亚洲沙尘与日本西部每日全因或死因特异性死亡率。

Asian dust and daily all-cause or cause-specific mortality in western Japan.

机构信息

Department of Public Health and Health Policy, Hiroshima University Institute of Biomedical & Health Sciences, 1-2-3 Kasumi, Minami-ku, Hiroshima 734-8551, Japan.

出版信息

Occup Environ Med. 2012 Dec;69(12):908-15. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2012-100797. Epub 2012 Oct 19.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Desert dust, which is included in course particles, is considered to have potential toxicity. The effect modification of desert dust on associations between anthropogenic air pollution and mortality has been evaluated. However, the independent effects of Asian dust are less clear. Thus, we evaluated the effects of Asian dust on mortality independent of particulate matter (PM) in western Japan.

METHODS

We obtained daily mean concentrations of Asian dust using Light Detection and Ranging measurements and suspended particulate matter (SPM) concentrations (approximately PM(8)) during March 2005 to December 2010. We then evaluated city-specific associations of Asian dust and SPM with daily mortality using a time-series analysis targeting 1 379 052 people aged 65 or above living in 47 cities. The city-specific results were then combined with a Bayesian-hierarchical model.

RESULTS

Asian dust did not modify the effects of SPM on mortality. Meanwhile, Asian dust was adversely associated with mortality independent of SPM. The excess risk following a 10 μ/m(3) increase in mean of the current to the previous 2 days Asian dust concentration was 0.6% (95% CI 0.1 to 1.1) for heart disease, 0.8% (95% CI 0.1 to 1.6) for ischaemic heart disease, 2.1% (95% CI 0.3 to 3.9) for arrhythmia and 0.5% (95% CI 0.2 to 0.8) for pneumonia mortality. Furthermore, the effects of Asian dust were stronger in northern areas close to the Eurasian continent (source of Asian dust).

CONCLUSIONS

Asian dust had adverse effects on circulatory and respiratory mortality independent of PM.

摘要

目的

沙尘(包含在悬浮颗粒物中)被认为具有潜在毒性。已经评估了沙尘对人为空气污染与死亡率之间关联的效应修饰作用。然而,亚洲沙尘的独立影响尚不清楚。因此,我们在日本西部评估了亚洲沙尘对死亡率的影响,而不考虑颗粒物(PM)。

方法

我们使用光探测和测距测量获得了 2005 年 3 月至 2010 年 12 月期间的每日平均亚洲沙尘浓度,以及悬浮颗粒物(SPM)浓度(约为 PM(8))。然后,我们使用时间序列分析针对年龄在 65 岁或以上的 1379052 人,评估了亚洲沙尘和 SPM 与每日死亡率的特定城市关联。然后,将城市特异性结果与贝叶斯层次模型相结合。

结果

亚洲沙尘没有改变 SPM 对死亡率的影响。与此同时,亚洲沙尘与 SPM 无关的死亡率呈负相关。在前两天当前到过去的平均亚洲沙尘浓度增加 10 μ/m(3) 时,心脏病、缺血性心脏病、心律失常和肺炎死亡率的超额风险分别为 0.6%(95%CI 0.1 至 1.1)、0.8%(95%CI 0.1 至 1.6)、2.1%(95%CI 0.3 至 3.9)和 0.5%(95%CI 0.2 至 0.8)。此外,亚洲沙尘的影响在靠近欧亚大陆(亚洲沙尘的来源)的北部地区更强。

结论

亚洲沙尘对循环系统和呼吸系统死亡率有不利影响,而与 PM 无关。

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