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泰国那空巴吞、素攀武里和叻丕府后院鸡中禽流感传播和交易模式的社会网络分析。

Social network analysis for assessment of avian influenza spread and trading patterns of backyard chickens in Nakhon Pathom, Suphan Buri and Ratchaburi, Thailand.

机构信息

Tropical Agriculture Program, Graduated School, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand.

出版信息

Zoonoses Public Health. 2013 Sep;60(6):448-55. doi: 10.1111/zph.12022. Epub 2012 Nov 8.

Abstract

The aim of this study is to explain the social networks of the backyard chicken in Ratchaburi, Suphan Buri and Nakhon Pathom Provinces. In this study, we designed the nodes as groups of persons or places involved in activities relating to backyard chickens. The ties are all activities related to the nodes. The study applied a partial network approach to assess the spreading pattern of avian influenza. From 557 questionnaires collected from the nodes, the researchers found that the degree (the numbers of ties that a node has) and closeness (the distance from one node to the others) centralities of Nakhon Pathom were significantly higher than those of the others (P<0.001). The results show that compared with the remaining areas, this area is more quickly connected to many links. If the avian influenza virus subtype H5N1 was released into the network, the disease would spread throughout this province more rapidly than in Ratchaburi and Suphan Buri. The betweenness centrality in each of these provinces showed no differences (P>0.05). In this study, the nodes that play an important role in all networks are farmers who raise consumable chicken, farmers who raise both consumable chicken and fighting cocks, farmers' households that connect with dominant nodes, and the owners and observers of fighting cocks at arenas and training fields. In this study, we did not find cut points or blocks in the network. Moreover, we detected a random network in all provinces. Thus, connectivity between the nodes covers long or short distances, with less predictable behaviour. Finally, this study suggests that activities between the important nodes must receive special attention for disease control during future disease outbreaks.

摘要

本研究旨在解释泰国叻丕府、素攀武里府和那空巴统府后院鸡的社会网络。在本研究中,我们将节点设计为与后院鸡相关活动所涉及的人群或地点群体。联系是与节点相关的所有活动。该研究应用部分网络方法评估禽流感的传播模式。从对 557 个节点进行的问卷调查中,研究人员发现,那空巴统的度数(节点拥有的联系数量)和接近度(一个节点与其他节点的距离)中心度显著高于其他地区(P<0.001)。结果表明,与其他地区相比,该地区与更多的节点迅速相连。如果 H5N1 亚型禽流感病毒被释放到网络中,该疾病在该省的传播速度将比叻丕府和素攀武里府更快。这三个省份的中间中心度没有差异(P>0.05)。在本研究中,在所有网络中发挥重要作用的节点是饲养可食用鸡的农民、饲养可食用鸡和斗鸡的农民、与主导节点相连的农民家庭,以及斗鸡场和训练场的斗鸡所有者和观察者。在本研究中,我们没有发现网络中的切点或块。此外,我们在所有省份都检测到了随机网络。因此,节点之间的连接覆盖长距离或短距离,行为不太可预测。最后,本研究表明,在未来疾病爆发期间,必须特别关注重要节点之间的活动,以进行疾病控制。

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