School of Economics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Global Health. 2024 May 6;20(1):38. doi: 10.1186/s12992-024-01048-6.
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of designing effective trade recovery measures in response to global health events (GHEs). This study combines international trade risk management theory and multi-case comparative analysis of past GHEs to present a theoretical framework for designing national trade recovery measures for future events.
The research finds that during GHEs, trade risks shift to fundamental uncertainty, requiring spatial-temporal-subject dimension recovery measures. The study suggests changing the focus of trade recovery policy design from emergency-oriented and single-dimension measures to reserve-oriented and enduring-effect measures of comprehensive dimensions at micro- and macroeconomic levels.
The study contributes to the debate on managing trade risks in times of crisis, where there is a need to develop effective trade recovery measures that account for the complexities of global trade and the unique challenges of GHEs. The findings provide practical guidance for trade officials and policymakers to design measures in response to GHEs to improve a country's overall trade recovery.
COVID-19 大流行凸显了设计应对全球卫生事件（GHEs）的有效贸易复苏措施的重要性。本研究结合国际贸易风险管理理论和对过去 GHEs 的多案例比较分析，为未来事件设计国家贸易复苏措施提出了一个理论框架。
研究发现，在 GHEs 期间，贸易风险转移到基本不确定性，需要空间-时间-主体维度的恢复措施。研究建议将贸易复苏政策设计的重点从应急导向和单一维度措施转变为微观和宏观经济层面的储备导向和持久效果的全面维度措施。
本研究为危机时期管理贸易风险的争论做出了贡献，需要制定有效的贸易复苏措施，以应对全球贸易的复杂性和 GHEs 的独特挑战。研究结果为贸易官员和政策制定者提供了应对 GHEs 的措施设计的实际指导，以提高一个国家的整体贸易复苏。
