双膦酸盐类药物的使用与胃肠道癌症风险:观察性研究的荟萃分析。
Bisphosphonate use and gastrointestinal tract cancer risk: meta-analysis of observational studies.
机构信息
Department of Family Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul 110-774, South Korea.
出版信息
World J Gastroenterol. 2012 Oct 28;18(40):5779-88. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v18.i40.5779.
AIM
To perform a meta-analysis of observational studies to further elucidate the relationship between oral bisphosphonate use and gastrointestinal cancer risk.
METHODS
Systematic literature search was conducted in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library to identify studies through January 2011. Search terms were "bisphosphonates" or trade names of the drugs, and "observational studies" or "cohort studies" or "case-control studies". Two evaluators reviewed and selected articles on the basis of predetermined selection criteria as followed: (1) observational studies (case-control or cohort studies) on bisphosphonate use; (2) with at least 2 years of follow-up; and (3) reported data on the incidence of cancer diagnosis. The DerSimonian and Laird random effects model were used to calculate the pooled relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Two-by-two contingency table was used to calculate the outcomes not suitable for meta-analysis. Subgroup meta-analyses were conducted for the type of cancer (esophageal, gastric and colorectal cancers). Sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the effect sizes when only studies with long-term follow-up (mean 5 years; subgroup 3 years) were included.
RESULTS
Of 740 screened articles, 3 cohort studies and 3 case-control studies were included in the analyses. At first, 4 cohort studies and 3 case-control studies were selected for the analyses but one cohort study was excluded because the cancer outcomes were not categorized by type of gastrointestinal cancer. More than 124,686 subjects participated in the 3 cohort studies. The mean follow-up time in all of the cohort studies combined was approximately 3.88 years. The 3 case-control studies reported 3070 esophageal cancer cases and 15,417 controls, 2018 gastric cancer cases and 10,007 controls, and 11,574 colorectal cancer cases and 53,955 controls. The percentage of study participants who used bisphosphonate was 2.8% among the cases and 2.9% among the controls. The meta-analysis of all the studies found no significant association between bisphosphonate use and gastrointestinal cancer. Also no statistically significant association was found in a meta-analysis of long-term follow-up studies. There was no negative association between bisphosphonate use and the incidence of esophageal cancer in the overall analysis (RR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.65-1.42, I(2) = 52.8%, P = 0.076) and no statistically significant association with long-term follow-up (RR 1.74, 95% CI: 0.97-3.10, I(2) = 58.8%, P = 0.119). No negative association was found in the studies reporting the risk of gastric cancer (RR 0.89, 95% CI: 0.71-1.13, I(2) = 0.0%, P = 0.472). In case of colorectal cancer, there was no association between colorectal cancer and bisphosphonate use (RR 0.62, 95% CI: 0.30-1.29, I(2) = 88.0%, P = 0.004) and also in the analysis with long-term follow-up (RR 0.61, 95% CI: 0.28-1.35, I(2) = 84.6%, P = 0.011).
CONCLUSION
Oral bisphosphonate use had no significant effect on gastrointestinal cancer risk. However, this finding should be validated in randomized controlled trials with long-term follow-up.
目的
通过荟萃分析观察性研究,进一步阐明口服双膦酸盐与胃肠道癌症风险之间的关系。
方法
系统地在 MEDLINE、EMBASE 和 Cochrane 图书馆中进行文献检索,以确定截至 2011 年 1 月的研究。检索词为“双膦酸盐”或药物的商品名,以及“观察性研究”或“队列研究”或“病例对照研究”。两位评估者根据以下预定选择标准审查和选择文章:(1)关于双膦酸盐使用的观察性研究(病例对照或队列研究);(2)至少有 2 年的随访;(3)报告癌症诊断发病率的数据。使用 DerSimonian 和 Laird 随机效应模型计算合并的相对风险(RR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。使用 2×2 列联表计算不适合荟萃分析的结果。对癌症类型(食管癌、胃癌和结直肠癌)进行亚组荟萃分析。进行敏感性分析,以检查仅纳入长期随访(平均 5 年;亚组 3 年)的研究时的效果大小。
结果
在筛选出的 740 篇文章中,有 3 项队列研究和 3 项病例对照研究被纳入分析。最初,有 4 项队列研究和 3 项病例对照研究被纳入分析,但有 1 项队列研究被排除,因为癌症结果未按胃肠道癌症的类型进行分类。超过 124686 名受试者参加了 3 项队列研究。所有队列研究的平均随访时间约为 3.88 年。3 项病例对照研究报告了 3070 例食管癌病例和 15417 例对照,2018 例胃癌病例和 10007 例对照,11574 例结直肠癌病例和 53955 例对照。病例组和对照组中使用双膦酸盐的比例分别为 2.8%和 2.9%。所有研究的荟萃分析发现,双膦酸盐的使用与胃肠道癌症之间没有显著关联。长期随访研究的荟萃分析也没有发现统计学上的显著关联。总体分析中,双膦酸盐的使用与食管癌的发生率之间没有负相关(RR 0.96,95%CI:0.65-1.42,I²=52.8%,P=0.076),与长期随访也没有统计学上的显著关联(RR 1.74,95%CI:0.97-3.10,I²=58.8%,P=0.119)。报告胃癌风险的研究也没有发现双膦酸盐与胃癌之间的负相关(RR 0.89,95%CI:0.71-1.13,I²=0.0%,P=0.472)。在结直肠癌的情况下,结直肠癌与双膦酸盐的使用之间没有关联(RR 0.62,95%CI:0.30-1.29,I²=88.0%,P=0.004),在长期随访的分析中也没有关联(RR 0.61,95%CI:0.28-1.35,I²=84.6%,P=0.011)。
结论
口服双膦酸盐的使用与胃肠道癌症风险无显著相关性。然而,这一发现应在具有长期随访的随机对照试验中得到验证。