International Food Policy Research Institute, Environment and Production Technology Division, 2033 K Street NW, Washington, DC 20006, USA.
J Environ Manage. 2013 Jan 15;114:26-35. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.10.036. Epub 2012 Nov 30.
Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are particularly vulnerable to climate change, given dependence on agricultural production and limited adaptive capacity. Based on farm household and Participatory Rural Appraisal data collected from districts in various agroecological zones in Kenya, this paper examines farmers' perceptions of climate change, ongoing adaptation measures, and factors influencing farmers' decisions to adapt. The results show that households face considerable challenges in adapting to climate change. While many households have made small adjustments to their farming practices in response to climate change (in particular, changing planting decisions), few households are able to make more costly investments, for example in agroforestry or irrigation, although there is a desire to invest in such measures. This emphasizes the need for greater investments in rural and agricultural development to support the ability of households to make strategic, long-term decisions that affect their future well-being.
撒哈拉以南非洲国家特别容易受到气候变化的影响,因为这些国家依赖农业生产,适应能力有限。本文基于肯尼亚不同农业生态区的农户和参与式农村评估数据,考察了农民对气候变化的认知、正在采取的适应措施,以及影响农民适应决策的因素。结果表明,农户在适应气候变化方面面临着相当大的挑战。虽然许多农户已经根据气候变化对其耕作方式进行了小的调整(特别是改变种植决策),但很少有农户能够进行更昂贵的投资,例如发展农林复合经营或灌溉,尽管他们愿意投资于此类措施。这强调了需要在农村和农业发展方面进行更多投资,以支持农户做出影响其未来福祉的战略性、长期性决策的能力。