Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências da Saúde, Universidade do Sul de Santa Catarina, Tubarão, SC, Brasil.
J Bras Pneumol. 2012 Nov-Dec;38(6):771-5. doi: 10.1590/s1806-37132012000600014.
The objective of this study was to describe temporal trends in tuberculosis morbidity and mortality in the state of Santa Catarina, Brazil, between 2002 and 2009. Data regarding mortality and incidence were obtained from the Brazilian Mortality Database and National Case Registry Database, respectively. Crude rates were calculated and standardized by age using the direct method. We estimated annual variation by joinpoint regression, identifying the points at which there were changes in the trends. There was a significant (3.7%) annual decrease in the mortality rate. In the study period, two distinct temporal trends were identified: one between 2002 and 2007, showing a significant (5.9%) annual decrease in the mortality rate; and one between 2007 and 2009, showing an insignificant (2.0%) annual increase. There was also a significant (0.9%) annual reduction in tuberculosis incidence.
本研究旨在描述巴西圣卡塔琳娜州 2002 年至 2009 年期间结核病发病率和死亡率的时间趋势。死亡率和发病率数据分别来自巴西死亡率数据库和国家病例登记数据库。使用直接法按年龄计算粗率并进行标准化。我们通过连接点回归估计年度变化，确定趋势变化的点。死亡率每年显著下降（3.7%）。在研究期间，确定了两个不同的时间趋势：2002 年至 2007 年期间，死亡率每年显著下降（5.9%）；2007 年至 2009 年期间，死亡率每年略有上升（2.0%）。结核病发病率也显著下降（0.9%）。
