Ke Ju-Zhong, Zheng Ying, Lu Wei
School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2012 Oct;33(10):1060-3.
To estimate the incidence, mortality and 5-year prevalence of brain and neurologic tumors in China, 2008.
Data from 36 cancer registries in China and from the Third National Death Survey in China were used to estimate the incidence, mortality and 5-year prevalence of brain and neurologic tumors in 2008, using the mathematical models. Prediction on the incidence, and mortality of brain and neurologic tumors in the next 20 years was also carried out.
In 2008, the incidence of brain and neurologic tumors in China was 66 454 (2.4%) and the incidence rate of age-standardized was 4.4/100 000, ranking tenth among all the cancers. The mortality of brain and neurologic tumors in China was 45 573 (2.3%), with mortality rate as 3.0/100 000, which ranked seventh among all the cancers. The 5-year prevalence of brain and neurologic tumors in China was 91 449 (2.0%) and the proportion was 8.6/100 000, which ranked twelfth among all the cancers. Incidence rates of brain and neurologic tumors in all the age groups were similar in both sexes, but the rate of incidence increased faster before 40 years old and slowed down thereafter. In the next 20 years, data from the prediction showed that the incidence and mortality of brain and neurologic tumors in China would gradually increase.
The burden of brain and neurologic tumors was increasing continuously.
估算2008年中国脑及神经系统肿瘤的发病率、死亡率和5年患病率。
利用中国36个癌症登记处的数据以及中国第三次全国死因调查的数据，采用数学模型估算2008年中国脑及神经系统肿瘤的发病率、死亡率和5年患病率。还对未来20年脑及神经系统肿瘤的发病率和死亡率进行了预测。
2008年，中国脑及神经系统肿瘤的发病率为66454例（占2.4%），年龄标准化发病率为4.4/10万，在所有癌症中排名第十。中国脑及神经系统肿瘤的死亡率为45573例（占2.3%），死亡率为3.0/10万，在所有癌症中排名第七。中国脑及神经系统肿瘤的5年患病率为91449例（占2.0%），比例为8.6/10万，在所有癌症中排名第十二。脑及神经系统肿瘤在各年龄组的发病率在两性中相似，但在40岁之前发病率上升较快，之后放缓。在未来20年，预测数据显示，中国脑及神经系统肿瘤的发病率和死亡率将逐渐上升。
脑及神经系统肿瘤的负担在持续增加。
