Department of Primary Care and Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, King's College London, United Kingdom.
Ann Fam Med. 2013 Jan-Feb;11(1):60-6. doi: 10.1370/afm.1433.
The clinical literature advises physicians not to trust their intuition. Studies of clinical intuition, however, equate it to early impressions, the first thing that comes to the physician's mind. This study aimed to investigate the validity of this perspective by examining real cases of intuition in family medicine.
Eighteen family physicians were interviewed about patient cases in which they believed that they had experienced an intuition. Cases were included if (1) participants were unaware of the basis of their judgment, or (2) participants talked about the basis of their judgment but believed that it was irrational or unsubstantiated. During the interview, case descriptions were systematically probed following the Critical Decision Method. Transcripts were coded for judgments, informational cues, expectancies, goals, and actions and were reordered into chronological accounts of the decision process. The 2 authors independently categorized cases into 3 emerging decision process types.
Participants reported 31 cases, 24 of which met inclusion criteria. Three types of decision process emerged: gut feelings, recognitions, and insights (κ = 0.78). In all cases, participants thought that their intuitive judgment was in conflict with a more rational explanation or what other colleagues would do.
Automatic, nonanalytical processes in clinical judgment extend beyond first impressions. Rather than admonishing clinicians not to trust their intuition, it should be acknowledged that little is currently known about the different types of intuitive processes and what determines their success or failure. Research on the conditions for accurate clinical intuitions is needed.
临床文献建议医生不要相信自己的直觉。然而,对临床直觉的研究将其等同于早期印象,即医生首先想到的事情。本研究旨在通过考察家庭医学中直觉的真实案例来检验这种观点的有效性。
对 18 名家庭医生进行了采访,询问了他们认为自己经历过直觉的患者病例。如果(1)参与者不知道自己判断的依据,或者(2)参与者谈到了自己判断的依据,但认为这是不合理的或没有根据的,则纳入病例。在访谈中,根据关键决策方法系统地探查了病例描述。对转录本进行了判断、信息线索、期望、目标和行动的编码,并按照决策过程的时间顺序重新排列。两位作者独立将病例分为 3 种新兴的决策过程类型。
参与者报告了 31 个病例,其中 24 个符合纳入标准。出现了 3 种决策过程类型:直觉、识别和洞察(κ=0.78)。在所有情况下,参与者认为他们的直觉判断与更理性的解释或其他同事的做法相冲突。
临床判断中的自动、非分析过程不仅限于第一印象。与其告诫临床医生不要相信自己的直觉,不如承认目前对不同类型的直觉过程及其决定成功或失败的因素知之甚少。需要研究准确的临床直觉的条件。