Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Feb 5;110(6):2029-34. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1212346110. Epub 2013 Jan 22.
Nitrogen trifluoride (NF(3)) has potential to make a growing contribution to the Earth's radiative budget; however, our understanding of its atmospheric burden and emission rates has been limited. Based on a revision of our previous calibration and using an expanded set of atmospheric measurements together with an atmospheric model and inverse method, we estimate that the global emissions of NF(3) in 2011 were 1.18 ± 0.21 Gg⋅y(-1), or ∼20 Tg CO(2)-eq⋅y(-1) (carbon dioxide equivalent emissions based on a 100-y global warming potential of 16,600 for NF(3)). The 2011 global mean tropospheric dry air mole fraction was 0.86 ± 0.04 parts per trillion, resulting from an average emissions growth rate of 0.09 Gg⋅y(-2) over the prior decade. In terms of CO(2) equivalents, current NF(3) emissions represent between 17% and 36% of the emissions of other long-lived fluorinated compounds from electronics manufacture. We also estimate that the emissions benefit of using NF(3) over hexafluoroethane (C(2)F(6)) in electronics manufacture is significant-emissions of between 53 and 220 Tg CO(2)-eq⋅y(-1) were avoided during 2011. Despite these savings, total NF(3) emissions, currently ∼10% of production, are still significantly larger than expected assuming global implementation of ideal industrial practices. As such, there is a continuing need for improvements in NF(3) emissions reduction strategies to keep pace with its increasing use and to slow its rising contribution to anthropogenic climate forcing.
三氟化氮(NF3)有可能对地球辐射预算做出越来越大的贡献;然而,我们对其大气负荷和排放率的理解一直有限。基于我们之前的校正修订,并使用扩展的大气测量数据集以及大气模型和反演方法,我们估计 2011 年全球 NF3排放量为 1.18 ± 0.21 Gg⋅y-1,或约 20 Tg CO2-eq⋅y-1(基于 NF3的 100 年全球变暖潜能值 16600 的二氧化碳当量排放)。2011 年全球平均对流层干空气摩尔分数为 0.86 ± 0.04 部分每万亿,这是过去十年中平均排放增长率为 0.09 Gg⋅y-2的结果。就二氧化碳当量而言,目前 NF3的排放量占电子制造业中其他长寿命含氟化合物排放量的 17%至 36%。我们还估计,在电子制造业中使用 NF3替代六氟乙烷(C2F6)的排放量效益显著——在 2011 年避免了 53 至 220 Tg CO2-eq⋅y-1的排放。尽管有这些节省,但考虑到全球实施理想的工业实践,目前 NF3的排放量(目前约为 10%)仍然明显大于预期。因此,需要不断改进 NF3减排策略,以跟上其使用量的增加,并减缓其对人为气候强迫的上升贡献。