Skammeritz Ellen, Omland Øyvind, Hansen Johnni, Johansen Jens Peter
Danish Ramazzini Center, Department of Occupational Medicine, Aalborg University Hospital.
Dan Med J. 2013 Mar;60(3):A4592.
The incidence of malignant mesothelioma (MM) in Denmark has been rising rapidly since the 1950s. The aim of this study was to determine temporal developments of MM incidence and survival in Denmark as a whole and in the individual regions.
Data from the Danish Cancer Registry were used. Cases of MM of the pleura, peritoneum and pericardium occurring in the 1943-2009 period were included. National and regional incidence rates were calculated, age-standardised and stratified by various variables. Survival was calculated using Kaplan Meier plot.
The total national incidence of MM for men has been rising throughout the period and reached its maximum of 1.76 in 2008-2009. For women, the incidence rate has remained relatively steady, with a maximum of 0.5 in 1973-1977. Since the late 1980s, the Region of Northern Jutland has had the highest male incidence rate. The difference in relative risk for men in the Region of Southern Denmark and the Region of Northern Jutland was 1.53 in 2008-2009, and the relative risk of developing MM in the Region of Northern Jutland for the entire period collectively compared with Denmark as a whole was 1.38. No notable regional difference exists for women. Survival has improved for both men and women, but remains poor with a median survival of 12.5 months for men and 13.3 months for women in 2008-2009.
The national MM incidence for men continues to increase, perhaps showing a slight tendency towards deceleration in the most recent decade. A clear long-term effect of the Danish asbestos ban has not yet occurred.
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自20世纪50年代以来,丹麦恶性间皮瘤(MM)的发病率一直在迅速上升。本研究的目的是确定丹麦整体以及各个地区MM发病率和生存率的时间变化情况。
使用丹麦癌症登记处的数据。纳入1943 - 2009年期间发生的胸膜、腹膜和心包MM病例。计算全国和各地区的发病率,按各种变量进行年龄标准化和分层。使用Kaplan Meier图计算生存率。
在此期间,男性MM的全国总发病率持续上升,并在2008 - 2009年达到最高值1.76。女性的发病率相对保持稳定,在1973 - 1977年达到最高值0.5。自20世纪80年代末以来,日德兰半岛北部地区男性发病率最高。2008 - 2009年,丹麦南部地区和日德兰半岛北部地区男性的相对风险差异为1.53,与丹麦整体相比,日德兰半岛北部地区在整个期间发生MM的相对风险为1.38。女性不存在明显的地区差异。男性和女性的生存率均有所提高,但仍然较低,2008 - 2009年男性的中位生存期为12.5个月,女性为13.3个月。
男性MM的全国发病率继续上升,可能在最近十年有轻微减速趋势。丹麦石棉禁令的长期明显效果尚未显现。
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