Liu Wendong, Zhu Yefei, Qi Xian, Xu Ke, Ge Aihua, Ji Hong, Ai Jing, Bao Changjun, Tang Fenyang, Zhou Minghao
Department of Acute Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210009, China.
J Biomed Res. 2013 May;27(3):163-6. doi: 10.7555/JBR.27.20130071. Epub 2013 May 16.
A novel avian influenza A (H7N9) virus was discovered in February 2013 in China and has resulted in more than 100 comfirmed human infections including 26 fatal cases as of May 2, 2013. The situation raises many urgent questions and global public health concerns. In this study, epidemiologic characteristics of infected human cases in Jiangsu province were analyzed and risk assessment was undertaken based on the information available. Briefly, it is highly unlikely that a pandemic of human infection with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus will happen in Jiangsu Province in the near future. In the end, some measures are recommended to prevent the situation from becoming worse.
2013年2月,中国发现了一种新型甲型H7N9禽流感病毒,截至2013年5月2日,已导致100多例确诊人类感染病例,其中26例死亡。这一情况引发了许多紧迫问题和全球公共卫生担忧。在本研究中,分析了江苏省人类感染病例的流行病学特征,并根据现有信息进行了风险评估。简而言之,近期江苏省发生甲型H7N9禽流感病毒人间大流行的可能性极小。最后,建议采取一些措施防止情况恶化。