Department of Business Administration, Princess Sumaya University for Technology, Amman, Jordan;
Nicotine Tob Res. 2014 Jan;16 Suppl 1:S30-6. doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntt058. Epub 2013 Jun 6.
We conducted an independent survey of tobacco use in Jordan following the methods and template of the Global Adult Tobacco Survey. Using data collected on cigarette use and cigarette prices, we estimated the price elasticity of cigarette demand in Jordan.
We used a 2-part model of cigarette demand. In the first part, we estimate the impact of prices on the decision to smoke while controlling for individual demographic and environmental characteristics. Conditional on smoking, we then estimate the effect of price on the number of cigarettes smoked.
The total price elasticity of cigarette demand in Jordan was estimated to be -0.6. Smoking among women was found to be relatively unresponsive to price (elasticity of -0.01), whereas smoking among men was much more responsive to price (elasticity of -0.81).
The price elasticity estimates suggest that significant increases in tobacco taxes are likely to be effective in reducing smoking in Jordan, particularly smoking among men.
我们采用全球成人烟草调查的方法和模板，在约旦进行了一项独立的烟草使用调查。我们利用关于香烟使用和香烟价格的数据，估计了约旦香烟需求的价格弹性。
我们使用了香烟需求的两部分模型。在第一部分中，我们在控制个人人口统计学和环境特征的情况下，估计价格对吸烟决策的影响。在已经吸烟的情况下，我们然后估计价格对吸烟量的影响。
约旦香烟总需求的价格弹性估计为-0.6。女性吸烟对价格的反应相对较小（弹性为-0.01），而男性吸烟对价格的反应则大得多（弹性为-0.81）。
价格弹性估计表明，大幅提高烟草税可能会有效减少约旦的吸烟行为，特别是男性吸烟行为。
