Am J Epidemiol. 2013 Nov 1;178(9):1366-77. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwt219. Epub 2013 Oct 3.
Subjects from the Epidemiologic Catchment Area Program, interviewed during 1979-1983, were linked to data in the National Death Index through 2007 to estimate the association of mental and behavioral disorders with death. There were more than 25 years of follow-up for 15,440 individuals, with 6,924 deaths amounting to 307,881 person-years of observation. Data were analyzed by using age as the time scale and parametric approaches to quantify the years of life lost due to disorders. Alcohol, drug use, and antisocial personality disorders were associated with increased risk of death, but there was no strong association with mood and anxiety disorders. Results of high- and low-quality matches with the National Death Index were similar. The 3 behavioral disorders were associated with 5-15 years of life lost, estimated along the life course via the generalized gamma model. Regression tree analyses showed that risk of death was associated with alcohol use disorders in nonblacks and with drug disorders in blacks. Phobia interacted with alcohol use disorders in nonblack women, and obsessive-compulsive disorder interacted with drug use disorders in black men. Both of these anxiety disorders were associated with lower risk of death early in life and higher risk of death later in life.
研究对象来自于 1979 年至 1983 年期间参与的流行病学抽样调查,通过与国家死亡索引中的数据进行链接,研究人员对这些数据进行了长达 25 年的随访,以评估精神和行为障碍与死亡之间的关联。共有 15440 名参与者,其中 6924 人死亡,共观察了 307881 人年。数据分析采用年龄作为时间尺度,采用参数方法来量化因障碍而丧失的寿命年数。酒精、药物使用和反社会人格障碍与死亡风险增加相关,但与情绪和焦虑障碍没有很强的关联。与国家死亡索引进行的高质量和低质量匹配的结果相似。这 3 种行为障碍与通过广义伽玛模型在整个生命过程中估计的 5-15 年的寿命损失有关。回归树分析表明,在非黑人中,与酒精使用障碍相关的死亡风险较高,而在黑人中,与药物障碍相关的死亡风险较高。在非黑人女性中,恐惧症与酒精使用障碍相互作用,而在黑人男性中,强迫症与药物使用障碍相互作用。这两种焦虑障碍都与早期生命中较低的死亡风险和晚期生命中较高的死亡风险相关。