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全球变暖对传染病的影响。

The effect of global warming on infectious diseases.

作者信息

Kurane Ichiro

机构信息

National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2010 Dec;1(1):4-9. doi: 10.1016/j.phrp.2010.12.004. Epub 2010 Dec 7.

Abstract

Global warming has various effects on human health. The main indirect effects are on infectious diseases. Although the effects on infectious diseases will be detected worldwide, the degree and types of the effect are different, depending on the location of the respective countries and socioeconomical situations. Among infectious diseases, water- and foodborne infectious diseases and vector-borne infectious diseases are two main categories that are forecasted to be most affected. The effect on vector-borne infectious diseases such as malaria and dengue fever is mainly because of the expansion of the infested areas of vector mosquitoes and increase in the number and feeding activity of infected mosquitoes. There will be increase in the number of cases with water- and foodborne diarrhoeal diseases. Even with the strongest mitigation procedures, global warming cannot be avoided for decades. Therefore, implementation of adaptation measures to the effect of global warming is the most practical action we can take. It is generally accepted that the impacts of global warming on infectious diseases have not been apparent at this point yet in East Asia. However, these impacts will appear in one form or another if global warming continues to progress in future. Further research on the impacts of global warming on infectious diseases and on future prospects should be conducted.

摘要

全球变暖对人类健康有多种影响。主要的间接影响体现在传染病方面。尽管对传染病的影响在全球范围内都能被察觉到,但影响的程度和类型因各个国家的地理位置和社会经济状况而异。在传染病中,水传和食源性传染病以及病媒传播的传染病是预计受影响最大的两大类。对疟疾和登革热等病媒传播传染病的影响主要是由于病媒蚊子的滋生区域扩大以及受感染蚊子的数量和叮咬活动增加。水传和食源性腹泻疾病的病例数量将会增加。即使采取最有力的缓解措施,几十年内全球变暖也无法避免。因此,实施适应全球变暖影响的措施是我们能采取的最切实可行的行动。人们普遍认为,目前全球变暖对东亚传染病的影响尚不明显。然而,如果全球变暖在未来继续加剧,这些影响将以某种形式显现出来。应该对全球变暖对传染病的影响以及未来前景进行进一步研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/836f/3766891/040507d16398/gr1.jpg

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