Technical Support Unit for IPCC WGI (Science Assessment), Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Meteorological Office, Bracknell, UK.
Environ Monit Assess. 1995 Jan;38(2-3):129-40. doi: 10.1007/BF00546758.
Though the principles of the Earth's greenhouse effect have been known for well over a century, it is only recently that advances in climate research have indicated that significant and possibly costly climate change, due to growing emissions of greenhouse gases and their precursors by human activity, is a real possibility. Current estimates of the global human-related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide are presented, though many sources remain poorly known or understood. The compilation of national greenhouse inventories as required by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change is likely in the longer term to help improve such global estimates, as long as comparable methodologies are used. The development of the IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories is described, emphasizing the strategies employed to gain wide international participation.
尽管地球温室效应的原理已经为人所知一个多世纪了,但直到最近,气候研究的进展才表明,由于人类活动导致温室气体及其前体排放量的增加,可能会发生重大且代价高昂的气候变化。目前提出了全球与人类活动相关的二氧化碳、甲烷和氧化亚氮排放量的估计值,尽管许多排放源仍然知之甚少或了解不够。只要使用可比的方法,就有可能通过编制《联合国气候变化框架公约》所要求的国家温室气体清单,来帮助改进此类全球估计值。本文描述了《政府间气候变化专门委员会国家温室气体清单指南》的制定情况,重点介绍了为获得广泛国际参与而采用的策略。