Scheffler Konrad, Murrell Ben, Kosakovsky Pond Sergei L
Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, United States of America; Department of Mathematical Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2014 Apr 10;9(4):e94534. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0094534. eCollection 2014.
Evolutionary models that make use of site-specific parameters have recently been criticized on the grounds that parameter estimates obtained under such models can be unreliable and lack theoretical guarantees of convergence. We present a simulation study providing empirical evidence that a simple version of the models in question does exhibit sensible convergence behavior and that additional taxa, despite not being independent of each other, lead to improved parameter estimates. Although it would be desirable to have theoretical guarantees of this, we argue that such guarantees would not be sufficient to justify the use of these models in practice. Instead, we emphasize the importance of taking the variance of parameter estimates into account rather than blindly trusting point estimates - this is standardly done by using the models to construct statistical hypothesis tests, which are then validated empirically via simulation studies.
最近,利用位点特异性参数的进化模型受到了批评,理由是在此类模型下获得的参数估计可能不可靠,且缺乏收敛的理论保证。我们进行了一项模拟研究,提供了经验证据表明所讨论的模型的一个简单版本确实表现出合理的收敛行为,并且额外的分类单元,尽管彼此不独立,但会导致更好的参数估计。虽然希望有这方面的理论保证,但我们认为这样的保证不足以证明在实践中使用这些模型是合理的。相反,我们强调考虑参数估计的方差而不是盲目相信点估计的重要性——这通常是通过使用模型来构建统计假设检验来完成的,然后通过模拟研究进行实证验证。