From the Department of Age-Related Health Care, Tallaght Hospital, Dublin, Ireland
From the Department of Age-Related Health Care, Tallaght Hospital, Dublin, Ireland.
QJM. 2014 Dec;107(12):977-87. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcu111. Epub 2014 Jun 16.
The analysis of routinely collected hospital data informs the design of specialist services for at-risk older people.
Describe the outcomes of a cohort of older emergency department (ED) attendees and identify predictors of these outcomes.
retrospective cohort study.
All patients aged 65 years or older attending an urban university hospital ED in January 2012 were included (N = 550). Outcomes were retrospectively followed for 12 months. Statistical analyses were based on multivariate binary logistic regression models and classification trees.
Of N = 550, 40.5% spent ≤6 h in the ED, but the proportion was 22.4% among those older than 81 years and not presenting with musculoskeletal problems/fractures. N = 349 (63.5%) were admitted from the ED. A significant multivariate predictor of in-hospital mortality was Charlson comorbidity index [CCI; odds ratio = 1.19, 95% confidence interval: 1.07, 1.34, P = 0.002]. Among patients who were discharged from ED without admission or after their first in-patient admission (N = 499), 232 (46.5%) re-attended ED within 1 year, with CCI being the best predictor of re-attendance (CCI ≤ 4: 25.8%, CCI > 5: 60.4%). Among N = 499, 34 (6.8%) had died after 1 year of initial ED presentation. The subgroup (N = 114) with the highest mortality (17.5%) was composed by those aged >77 years and brought in by ambulance on initial presentation.
Advanced age and comorbidity are important drivers of outcomes among older ED attendees. There is a need to embed specialist geriatric services within frontline services to make them more gerontologically attuned. Our results predate the opening of an acute medical unit with specialist geriatric input.
对常规收集的医院数据进行分析可为高危老年人的专科服务设计提供信息。
描述一组老年急诊科(ED)就诊者的结局,并确定这些结局的预测因素。
回顾性队列研究。
纳入 2012 年 1 月在城市大学医院 ED 就诊的所有 65 岁或以上的患者(N=550)。对患者进行为期 12 个月的回顾性随访。基于多变量二项逻辑回归模型和分类树进行统计分析。
N=550 中,40.5%的患者在 ED 停留时间≤6 h,但年龄>81 岁且无肌肉骨骼问题/骨折的患者比例为 22.4%。N=349(63.5%)从 ED 入院。院内死亡率的显著多变量预测因素为 Charlson 合并症指数[CCI;优势比=1.19,95%置信区间:1.07,1.34,P=0.002]。在 ED 出院未入院或首次住院后(N=499),232(46.5%)在 1 年内再次就诊 ED,CCI 是再就诊的最佳预测因素(CCI≤4:25.8%,CCI>5:60.4%)。在 N=499 中,34(6.8%)人在 ED 首次就诊后 1 年内死亡。死亡率最高(17.5%)的亚组(N=114)由首次就诊时年龄>77 岁且由救护车送来的患者组成。
年龄较大和合并症是老年 ED 就诊者结局的重要驱动因素。需要在一线服务中嵌入老年专科服务,使其更符合老年医学。我们的结果早于开设具有老年专科医生参与的急性内科单元之前。