Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Wakayama Medical University.
J Epidemiol. 2014;24(5):427-34. doi: 10.2188/jea.je20140018. Epub 2014 Jul 5.
To clarify the contribution of patient age to the development of coronary artery lesions (CALs) associated with Kawasaki disease (KD), epidemiologic features and prognostic factors were investigated using hospital-based complete enumeration surveys in a specific area.
Consecutive KD cases identified between October 1999 and September 2012 in Wakayama Prefecture, Japan, were analyzed. The primary outcome measure was the presence/absence of CALs (giant aneurysm, mid- or small-sized aneurysm, and dilatation) on echocardiography 1 month after disease onset. Demographics and medical treatment factors were compared between the patients with and without CALs. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of explanatory variables (age, gender, and factors related to high-dose intravenous immunoglobulin treatment) for the development of CALs were determined.
The median age of the 1415 patients (796 males, 619 females) was 25 months after excluding 2 children of foreign residents; 2.2% of the patients had a past history of KD, and 1.8% showed incomplete presentation. CALs were observed in 3.3% (4.0% of males, 2.3% of females; P = 0.080). The ORs of CALs among patients <11 months old (3.0, 95% CI 1.4-6.6) and those >48 months old (3.1, 95% CI 1.5-6.6) were significantly higher than values in 11- to 48-month-olds.
The effect of patient age on the development of CALs was found to be U-shaped, with the bottom at ages 11 to 48 months. This finding was based on a 13-year cohort of consecutive KD cases in a specific area with little selection bias and is consistent with previously reported results.
为了阐明患者年龄对川崎病(KD)相关冠状动脉病变(CALs)发展的影响,本研究采用特定区域基于医院的全面普查方法,对流行病学特征和预后因素进行了调查。
分析了日本和歌山县 1999 年 10 月至 2012 年 9 月期间确诊的连续 KD 病例。主要观察指标为发病后 1 个月时超声心动图上是否存在(巨大动脉瘤、中或小动脉瘤和扩张)CALs。比较了有和无 CALs 患者的人口统计学和医学治疗因素。确定了对 CALs 发生有解释意义的变量(年龄、性别和与大剂量静脉注射免疫球蛋白治疗相关的因素)的优势比(OR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。
排除 2 例外国居民儿童后,1415 例患者(796 例男性,619 例女性)的中位年龄为 25 个月;2.2%的患者有 KD 既往史,1.8%表现为不完全型。3.3%(男性 4.0%,女性 2.3%;P=0.080)的患者出现 CALs。<11 个月(3.0,95%CI 1.4-6.6)和>48 个月(3.1,95%CI 1.5-6.6)的患者发生 CALs 的 OR 明显高于 11-48 个月龄患者。
患者年龄对 CALs 发展的影响呈 U 型,底部在 11-48 个月龄。该发现基于特定区域连续 KD 病例的 13 年队列,几乎没有选择偏倚,与以往报道的结果一致。