基于邻里建成环境对步行交通出行影响的纵向分析:RESIDE 研究。

A longitudinal analysis of the influence of the neighborhood built environment on walking for transportation: the RESIDE study.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2014 Sep 1;180(5):453-61. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwu171. Epub 2014 Aug 11.

Abstract

The purpose of the present analysis was to use longitudinal data collected over 7 years (from 4 surveys) in the Residential Environments (RESIDE) Study (Perth, Australia, 2003-2012) to more carefully examine the relationship of neighborhood walkability and destination accessibility with walking for transportation that has been seen in many cross-sectional studies. We compared effect estimates from 3 types of logistic regression models: 2 that utilize all available data (a population marginal model and a subject-level mixed model) and a third subject-level conditional model that exclusively uses within-person longitudinal evidence. The results support the evidence that neighborhood walkability (especially land-use mix and street connectivity), local access to public transit stops, and variety in the types of local destinations are important determinants of walking for transportation. The similarity of subject-level effect estimates from logistic mixed models and those from conditional logistic models indicates that there is little or no bias from uncontrolled time-constant residential preference (self-selection) factors; however, confounding by uncontrolled time-varying factors, such as health status, remains a possibility. These findings provide policy makers and urban planners with further evidence that certain features of the built environment may be important in the design of neighborhoods to increase walking for transportation and meet the health needs of residents.

摘要

本分析的目的是利用在 Residential Environments (RESIDE) 研究(澳大利亚珀斯,2003-2012 年)中收集的超过 7 年(4 次调查)的纵向数据,更仔细地研究邻里可步行性和目的地可达性与许多横断面研究中观察到的交通步行之间的关系。我们比较了 3 种逻辑回归模型的效应估计:2 种利用所有可用数据的模型(人口边缘模型和个体水平混合模型)和第 3 种仅使用个体内纵向证据的个体水平条件模型。结果支持了以下证据:邻里可步行性(特别是土地利用混合和街道连通性)、当地公共交通站点的可达性以及当地目的地类型的多样性是交通步行的重要决定因素。逻辑混合模型和条件逻辑模型的个体水平效应估计的相似性表明,不受控制的、恒定的居住偏好(自我选择)因素的偏差很小或没有;然而,不受控制的时变因素(如健康状况)的混杂仍然是一种可能性。这些发现为政策制定者和城市规划者提供了进一步的证据,即某些建筑环境的特征可能在设计邻里以增加交通步行和满足居民的健康需求方面很重要。

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