中国北京养老机构选址的空间优化:可达性的最大公平性

Spatial optimization of residential care facility locations in Beijing, China: maximum equity in accessibility.

作者信息

Tao Zhuolin, Cheng Yang, Dai Teqi, Rosenberg Mark W

机构信息

School of Geography, Beijing Normal University, 19 Xinjiekouwai Avenue, Beijing 100875, China.

出版信息

Int J Health Geogr. 2014 Sep 1;13:33. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-13-33.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The residential care system is rapidly developing and plays an increasingly important role in care for the elderly in Beijing. A noticeable disparity in the accessibility to existing residential care facilities, however, is demonstrated in existing studies. The spatial optimization of residential care facility (RCF) locations is urgently needed to promote equal access to residential care resources among the elderly population.

METHODS

A two-step floating catchment area method with an additional distance-decay function is adopted to measure accessibility to residential care facilities. The spatial optimization model is developed to maximize equity in accessibility by minimizing the total square difference between the accessibility score of each demand location and the weighted average accessibility score. The Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method is implemented for the solution.

RESULTS

The optimized RCF layouts improve equal spatial access to residential care resources with very low accessibility standard variation (0.0066). A relatively large number of beds (51% of the total beds) to be located in the suburban districts between the central and periphery districts of Beijing are optimized. A smaller number of beds to be located in the central and periphery districts (33% and 16% respectively) are optimized. The gaps between the existing and optimized layouts suggest that more RCF beds (5961 beds) are needed in suburban districts, while the RCF beds in some subdistricts located in the central and periphery districts are oversupplied (5253 and 1584 surplus beds respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The optimized results correspond to the municipal special plan proposed by the Beijing government. The optimization objective of this study is different from traditional facility location optimization models, and the method is efficient in maximizing equal access to residential care facilities. This method can support knowledge-based policy-making and planning of residential care facilities.

摘要

背景

北京的养老服务体系正在迅速发展,并且在老年人照料方面发挥着越来越重要的作用。然而,现有研究表明,现有养老服务设施的可达性存在显著差异。迫切需要对养老服务设施(RCF)的位置进行空间优化,以促进老年人群体平等获取养老服务资源。

方法

采用具有附加距离衰减函数的两步浮动集水区法来衡量养老服务设施的可达性。开发空间优化模型,通过最小化每个需求地点的可达性得分与加权平均可达性得分之间的总平方差,来最大化可达性的公平性。采用粒子群优化(PSO)方法进行求解。

结果

优化后的RCF布局提高了养老服务资源的空间平等可达性,可达性标准偏差非常低(0.0066)。优化了北京中心城区与周边城区之间的郊区相对较多数量的床位(占总床位数的51%)。优化了中心城区和周边城区相对较少数量的床位(分别为33%和16%)。现有布局与优化布局之间的差距表明,郊区需要更多的RCF床位(5961张床位),而中心城区和周边城区一些街道的RCF床位供应过剩(分别有5253张和1584张过剩床位)。

结论

优化结果与北京市政府提出的市级专项规划相符。本研究的优化目标与传统的设施选址优化模型不同,该方法在最大化养老服务设施平等可达性方面是有效的。该方法可为养老服务设施的基于知识的政策制定和规划提供支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6591/4160561/fc3076bc6d43/1476-072X-13-33-1.jpg

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